Articles | Volume 9, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-1039-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-1039-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
20 May 2015
Research article |
| 20 May 2015
Ice-dynamic projections of the Greenland ice sheet in response to atmospheric and oceanic warming
J. J. Fürst
Invited contribution by J. J. Fürst, recipient of the EGU Outstanding Student Poster Award 2011.
Earth System Science & Departement Geografie, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
H. Goelzer
Earth System Science & Departement Geografie, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
P. Huybrechts
Earth System Science & Departement Geografie, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
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87 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Accelerating growth of Sermilik Delta, Greenland (1987–2022), driven by increasing runoff R. Crick et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.70116
- A Characterization of Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Melt and Runoff in Contemporary Reanalyses and a Regional Climate Model R. Cullather et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2016.00010
- Representing Greenland ice sheet freshwater fluxes in climate models J. Lenaerts et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064738
- The albedo loss from the melting of the Greenland ice sheet and the social cost of carbon S. Gschnaller https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02936-7
- Likely and High-End Impacts of Regional Sea-Level Rise on the Shoreline Change of European Sandy Coasts Under a High Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenario R. Thiéblemont et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11122607
- A simple equation for the melt elevation feedback of ice sheets A. Levermann & R. Winkelmann https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1799-2016
- Retreat patterns and dynamics of the former Norske Trough ice stream (NE Greenland): An integrated geomorphological and sedimentological approach A. López-Quirós et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108477
- Physical Conditions of Fast Glacier Flow: 2. Variable Extent of Anisotropic Ice and Soft Basal Sediment From Seismic Reflection Data Acquired on Store Glacier, West Greenland C. Hofstede et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JF004297
- Ice front positions for Greenland glaciers (2002–2021): a spatially extensive seasonal record and benchmark dataset for algorithm validation X. Lu et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-2635-2026
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- Greenland Ice Sheet Contribution to 21st Century Sea Level Rise as Simulated by the Coupled CESM2.1‐CISM2.1 L. Muntjewerf et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086836
- Simulation of the future sea level contribution of Greenland with a new glacial system model R. Calov et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3097-2018
- Threefold increase in marine-terminating outlet glacier retreat rates across the Atlantic Arctic: 1992–2010 J. Carr et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2017.3
- Holocene sea-ice dynamics in Petermann Fjord in relation to ice tongue stability and Nares Strait ice arch formation H. Detlef et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4357-2021
- Exploring the Greenland Ice Sheet’s response to future atmospheric warming-threshold scenarios over 200 years A. Delhasse et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-4459-2025
- Sensitivity, stability and future evolution of the world's northernmost ice cap, Hans Tausen Iskappe (Greenland) H. Zekollari et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-805-2017
- Investigating the multi-millennial evolution and stability of the Greenland ice sheet using remapped surface mass balance forcing C. Rahlves et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6403-2025
- Global environmental consequences of twenty-first-century ice-sheet melt N. Golledge et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-0889-9
- The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 °C global warming F. Pattyn et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0305-8
- Link between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the surface mass balance components of the Greenland Ice Sheet under preindustrial and last interglacial climates: a study with a coupled global circulation model S. Ramos Buarque & D. Salas y Melia https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1707-2018
- Economics of the disintegration of the Greenland ice sheet W. Nordhaus https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1814990116
- Correlations Between Sea‐Level Components Are Driven by Regional Climate Change E. Lambert et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001825
- Low-End Probabilistic Sea-Level Projections G. Le Cozannet et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11071507
- Risk assessment of climate change impacts on Mediterranean coastal wetlands. Application in Júcar River Basin District (Spain) C. Estrela-Segrelles et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148032
- Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate R. Greve & C. Chambers https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.9
- Last glacial ice sheet dynamics offshore NE Greenland – a case study from Store Koldewey Trough I. Olsen et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4475-2020
- Large and irreversible future decline of the Greenland ice sheet J. Gregory et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4299-2020
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- Future Evolution of Greenland's Marine‐Terminating Outlet Glaciers G. Catania et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JF004873
- Accelerated Greenland Ice Sheet Mass Loss Under High Greenhouse Gas Forcing as Simulated by the Coupled CESM2.1‐CISM2.1 L. Muntjewerf et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS002031
- Spatially heterogeneous effect of climate warming on the Arctic land ice D. Maure et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4645-2023
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- A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners R. van de Wal et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002751
- Contribution of the Greenland Ice Sheet to sea level over the next millennium A. Aschwanden et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aav9396
- Ice flux evolution in fast flowing areas of the Greenland ice sheet over the 20th and 21st centuries D. PEANO et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2017.12
- Assessing Uncertainty in the Dynamical Ice Response to Ocean Warming in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica I. Nias et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084941
- Ice dynamics will remain a primary driver of Greenland ice sheet mass loss over the next century Y. Choi et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00092-z
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- Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Runoff Projections to 2200 Using Degree-Day Methods C. Yue et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12121569
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- Evaluation of Iceberg Calving Models Against Observations From Greenland Outlet Glaciers T. Amaral et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JF005444
- New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 3: Sea Level Rise V. Gornitz et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14006
- A fault-bounded palaeo-lake basin preserved beneath the Greenland Ice Sheet G. Paxman et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2020.116647
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87 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Rising Oceans Guaranteed: Arctic Land Ice Loss and Sea Level Rise T. Moon et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-018-0107-0
- Accelerating growth of Sermilik Delta, Greenland (1987–2022), driven by increasing runoff R. Crick et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.70116
- A Characterization of Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Melt and Runoff in Contemporary Reanalyses and a Regional Climate Model R. Cullather et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2016.00010
- Representing Greenland ice sheet freshwater fluxes in climate models J. Lenaerts et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064738
- The albedo loss from the melting of the Greenland ice sheet and the social cost of carbon S. Gschnaller https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02936-7
- Likely and High-End Impacts of Regional Sea-Level Rise on the Shoreline Change of European Sandy Coasts Under a High Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenario R. Thiéblemont et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11122607
- A simple equation for the melt elevation feedback of ice sheets A. Levermann & R. Winkelmann https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1799-2016
- Retreat patterns and dynamics of the former Norske Trough ice stream (NE Greenland): An integrated geomorphological and sedimentological approach A. López-Quirós et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2023.108477
- Physical Conditions of Fast Glacier Flow: 2. Variable Extent of Anisotropic Ice and Soft Basal Sediment From Seismic Reflection Data Acquired on Store Glacier, West Greenland C. Hofstede et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JF004297
- Ice front positions for Greenland glaciers (2002–2021): a spatially extensive seasonal record and benchmark dataset for algorithm validation X. Lu et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-18-2635-2026
- A Review of Recent Updates of Sea-Level Projections at Global and Regional Scales A. Slangen et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-016-9374-2
- Greenland Ice Sheet Contribution to 21st Century Sea Level Rise as Simulated by the Coupled CESM2.1‐CISM2.1 L. Muntjewerf et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086836
- Simulation of the future sea level contribution of Greenland with a new glacial system model R. Calov et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3097-2018
- Threefold increase in marine-terminating outlet glacier retreat rates across the Atlantic Arctic: 1992–2010 J. Carr et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2017.3
- Holocene sea-ice dynamics in Petermann Fjord in relation to ice tongue stability and Nares Strait ice arch formation H. Detlef et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4357-2021
- Exploring the Greenland Ice Sheet’s response to future atmospheric warming-threshold scenarios over 200 years A. Delhasse et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-4459-2025
- Sensitivity, stability and future evolution of the world's northernmost ice cap, Hans Tausen Iskappe (Greenland) H. Zekollari et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-805-2017
- Investigating the multi-millennial evolution and stability of the Greenland ice sheet using remapped surface mass balance forcing C. Rahlves et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6403-2025
- Global environmental consequences of twenty-first-century ice-sheet melt N. Golledge et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-0889-9
- The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 °C global warming F. Pattyn et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0305-8
- Link between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the surface mass balance components of the Greenland Ice Sheet under preindustrial and last interglacial climates: a study with a coupled global circulation model S. Ramos Buarque & D. Salas y Melia https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-1707-2018
- Economics of the disintegration of the Greenland ice sheet W. Nordhaus https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1814990116
- Correlations Between Sea‐Level Components Are Driven by Regional Climate Change E. Lambert et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001825
- Low-End Probabilistic Sea-Level Projections G. Le Cozannet et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11071507
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- Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate R. Greve & C. Chambers https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.9
- Last glacial ice sheet dynamics offshore NE Greenland – a case study from Store Koldewey Trough I. Olsen et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4475-2020
- Large and irreversible future decline of the Greenland ice sheet J. Gregory et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4299-2020
- Satellite Remote Sensing of the Greenland Ice Sheet Ablation Zone: A Review M. Cooper & L. Smith https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11202405
- Future Evolution of Greenland's Marine‐Terminating Outlet Glaciers G. Catania et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JF004873
- Accelerated Greenland Ice Sheet Mass Loss Under High Greenhouse Gas Forcing as Simulated by the Coupled CESM2.1‐CISM2.1 L. Muntjewerf et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS002031
- Spatially heterogeneous effect of climate warming on the Arctic land ice D. Maure et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4645-2023
- Comparing urban coastal flood risk in 136 cities under two alternative sea-level projections: RCP 8.5 and an expert opinion-based high-end scenario L. Abadie et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2020.105249
- A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners R. van de Wal et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002751
- Contribution of the Greenland Ice Sheet to sea level over the next millennium A. Aschwanden et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aav9396
- Ice flux evolution in fast flowing areas of the Greenland ice sheet over the 20th and 21st centuries D. PEANO et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2017.12
- Assessing Uncertainty in the Dynamical Ice Response to Ocean Warming in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica I. Nias et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084941
- Ice dynamics will remain a primary driver of Greenland ice sheet mass loss over the next century Y. Choi et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00092-z
- Thermal regime of the Grigoriev ice cap and the Sary-Tor glacier in the inner Tien Shan, Kyrgyzstan L. Van Tricht & P. Huybrechts https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4513-2022
- Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Runoff Projections to 2200 Using Degree-Day Methods C. Yue et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12121569
- Extending the range and reach of physically-based Greenland ice sheet sea-level projections H. Goelzer et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6887-2025
- Simple models for the simulation of submarine melt for a Greenland glacial system model J. Beckmann et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-301-2018
- Global Melting? The Economics of Disintegration of the Greenland Ice Sheet W. Nordhaus https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3171245
- Evaluation of Iceberg Calving Models Against Observations From Greenland Outlet Glaciers T. Amaral et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JF005444
- New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 3: Sea Level Rise V. Gornitz et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14006
- A fault-bounded palaeo-lake basin preserved beneath the Greenland Ice Sheet G. Paxman et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2020.116647
- Decline in Atlantic Primary Production Accelerated by Greenland Ice Sheet Melt L. Kwiatkowski et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085267
- Twenty-first century ocean forcing of the Greenland ice sheet for modelling of sea level contribution D. Slater et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-985-2020
- Assessing the contribution of internal climate variability to anthropogenic changes in ice sheet volume C. Tsai et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073443
- Modelling the influence of marine ice on the dynamics of an idealised ice shelf L. Craw et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.66
- Recent Progress in Understanding and Projecting Regional and Global Mean Sea Level Change P. Clark et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-015-0024-4
- Estimating Greenland tidewater glacier retreat driven by submarine melting D. Slater et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-2489-2019
- Simulated retreat of Jakobshavn Isbræ since the Little Ice Age controlled by geometry N. Steiger et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-2249-2018
- Timescales of emergence of chronic flooding in the major economic center of Guadeloupe G. Le Cozannet et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-703-2021
- Modelled dynamic retreat of Kangerlussuaq Glacier, East Greenland, strongly influenced by the consecutive absence of an ice mélange in Kangerlussuaq Fjord J. Barnett et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.70
- Application of GRACE to the assessment of model-based estimates of monthly Greenland Ice Sheet mass balance (2003–2012) N. Schlegel et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1965-2016
- Committed sea-level rise under the Paris Agreement and the legacy of delayed mitigation action M. Mengel et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-02985-8
- Importance of Orography for Greenland Cloud and Melt Response to Atmospheric Blocking L. Hahn et al. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0527.1
- Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet J. Beckmann & R. Winkelmann https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3083-2023
- The effect of overshooting 1.5 °C global warming on the mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet M. Rückamp et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1169-2018
- The sensitivity of the Greenland Ice Sheet to glacial–interglacial oceanic forcing I. Tabone et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-455-2018
- Subsurface iceberg melt key to Greenland fjord freshwater budget T. Moon et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-017-0018-z
- A Review of Recent Changes in Major Marine-Terminating Outlet Glaciers in Northern Greenland E. Hill et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2016.00111
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