Articles | Volume 8, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-8-1673-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-8-1673-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Projected changes of snow conditions and avalanche activity in a warming climate: the French Alps over the 2020–2050 and 2070–2100 periods
H. Castebrunet
INSA de Lyon, Laboratoire LGCIE, 20 Avenue des Arts, Bât. J.C.A. Coulomb, 69621 Villeurbanne, France
UR ETGR, IRSTEA/Université de Grenoble Alpes, BP 76, 38402 Saint Martin d'Hères, France
Météo-France – CNRS, CNRM-GAME UMR 3589, Centre d'Etudes de la Neige, 1441 rue de la Piscine, 38400 Saint Martin d'Hères, France
N. Eckert
UR ETGR, IRSTEA/Université de Grenoble Alpes, BP 76, 38402 Saint Martin d'Hères, France
G. Giraud
Météo-France – CNRS, CNRM-GAME UMR 3589, Centre d'Etudes de la Neige, 1441 rue de la Piscine, 38400 Saint Martin d'Hères, France
Y. Durand
Météo-France – CNRS, CNRM-GAME UMR 3589, Centre d'Etudes de la Neige, 1441 rue de la Piscine, 38400 Saint Martin d'Hères, France
Météo-France – CNRS, CNRM-GAME UMR 3589, Centre d'Etudes de la Neige, 1441 rue de la Piscine, 38400 Saint Martin d'Hères, France
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Cited
99 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Carry along or not? Decision-making on carrying standard avalanche safety gear among ski tourers in a German touring region M. Witting et al.
- Wet snow avalanches on Corsica Island: a long-term perspective from lake sediments P. Sabatier et al.
- One and a half century of avalanche risk to settlements in the upper Maurienne valley inferred from land cover and socio-environmental changes. T. Zgheib et al.
- Potential effects of climate change on future snow avalanche activity in western Norway deduced from meteorological data K. Laute & A. Beylich
- Snow avalanche hazard prediction using machine learning methods B. Choubin et al.
- Estimating Snowpack Density from Near-Infrared Spectral Reflectance Using a Hybrid Model M. El Oufir et al.
- Changements climatiques et risques naturels dans les Alpes B. Einhorn et al.
- Changes of forest cover and disturbance regimes in the mountain forests of the Alps P. Bebi et al.
- Spatio-temporal variability of avalanche risk in the French Alps T. Zgheib et al.
- Development and evaluation of a method to identify potential release areas of snow avalanches based on watershed delineation C. Duvillier et al.
- Analysis of future climate change impacts on snow distribution over mountainous watersheds in Northern California by means of a physically-based snow distribution model K. Ishida et al.
- Influence of snow and meteorological conditions on snow‐avalanche deposit volumes and consequences for road‐network vulnerability H. Kern et al.
- Extreme avalanche cycles: Return levels and probability distributions depending on snow and meteorological conditions G. Evin et al.
- Future snow projections in a small basin of the Western Himalaya S. Nepal et al.
- Timing and identification of potential snow avalanche types: a case study of the central Tianshan Mountains J. Hao et al.
- Assessing wet snow avalanche activity using detailed physics based snowpack simulations N. Wever et al.
- Multi-component ensembles of future meteorological and natural snow conditions for 1500 m altitude in the Chartreuse mountain range, Northern French Alps D. Verfaillie et al.
- Potential and challenges of depth-resolved three-dimensional MPM simulations: a case study of the 2019 ‘Salezer’ snow avalanche in Davos M. Kyburz et al.
- Avalanches create unique habitats for birds in the European Alps R. Alba et al.
- Respective influence of geomorphologic and climate conditions on debris-flow occurrence in the Northern French Alps V. Jomelli et al.
- An ArcGIS Geo-Morphological Approach for Snow Avalanche Zoning and Risk Estimation in the Province of Bergamo B. Marana
- Using historical data for developing a hazard and disaster profile of the Kashmir valley for the period 1900–2020 N. Ali et al.
- Spatio-temporal trends in fire weather in the French Alps S. Dupire et al.
- Dynamic Evolution and Triggering Mechanisms of the Simutasi Peak Avalanche in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains: A Multi-Source Data Fusion Approach X. Qiang et al.
- Climate warming enhances snow avalanche risk in the Western Himalayas J. Ballesteros-Cánovas et al.
- Assessing the uncertainty of glacier mass-balance simulations in the European Arctic based on variance decomposition T. Sauter & F. Obleitner
- 10 000 years of snow avalanche activity in western Norway: a multiproxy lake sediment record from Lake Vatnasetvatnet, Hardanger J. Hardeng et al.
- Unprecedented Winter Rainfall Initiates Large Snow Avalanche and Mass Movement Cycle in New Zealand's Southern Alps/Kā Tiritiri o te Moana A. Miller et al.
- Snow avalanche in the Indian Himalayas: Hazard zonation and climate change trends in Kullu region of Himachal Pradesh, India J. Bansal et al.
- Particle trajectories, velocities, accelerations and rotation rates in snow avalanches M. Neuhauser et al.
- Climate change and natural hazards in the Alps B. Einhorn et al.
- The last glaciers in Africa and their environmental implications J. Knight
- A multi-aggregation approach to estimate avalanche vulnerability and suggest phase-wise adaptation A. Singhal et al.
- Panel based assessment of snow management operations in French ski resorts P. Spandre et al.
- Characterizing snow instability with avalanche problem types derived from snow cover simulations B. Reuter et al.
- Snow gliding and glide-snow avalanches: recent outcomes from two experimental test sites in Aosta Valley (northwestern Italian Alps) M. Maggioni et al.
- Assessing the impacts of climate change on snow avalanche-induced risk in alpine regions G. Ortner et al.
- A walk on the wild side: Disturbance dynamics and the conservation and management of European mountain forest ecosystems D. Kulakowski et al.
- Probability models to convert snowpack stability into the number of dry-snow avalanches in North Japan Y. Katsuyama et al.
- Geomorphic Process Chains in High‐Mountain Regions—A Review and Classification Approach for Natural Hazards Assessment P. Mani et al.
- Changing drivers of regional large magnitude avalanche frequency throughout Colorado, USA E. Peitzsch et al.
- Wet avalanches: long-term evolution in the Western Alps under climate and human forcing L. Fouinat et al.
- Coming down the tracks O. Heffernan
- Trends in avalanche problems in the French Alps between 1958 and 2020 B. Reuter et al.
- Large-ensemble climate simulations to assess changes in snow stability over northern Japan Y. Katsuyama et al.
- Mobility of cohesive granular flows over erodible beds: insights from discrete element simulations C. Ligneau et al.
- The sensitivity and evolutionary trajectory of the mountain cryosphere: Implications for mountain geomorphic systems and hazards J. Knight & S. Harrison
- Coupling Different Machine Learning and Meta-Heuristic Optimization Techniques to Generate the Snow Avalanche Susceptibility Map in the French Alps E. Kayhan & Ö. Ekmekcioğlu
- Global warming response of snowpack at mountain range in northern Japan estimated using multiple dynamically downscaled data Y. Katsuyama et al.
- How robust are future projections of forest landscape dynamics? Insights from a systematic comparison of four forest landscape models G. Petter et al.
- Impact of climate change on snow avalanche activity in the Swiss Alps S. Mayer et al.
- Projection in snowfall characteristics over the European Alps and its sensitivity to the SST changes: results from a 50 km resolution AGCM N. Freychet et al.
- Combining random forests and class-balancing to discriminate between three classes of avalanche activity in the French Alps P. Dkengne Sielenou et al.
- Impact du réchauffement climatique sur l'activité avalancheuse et multiplication des avalanches humides dans les Alpes françaises M. Naaim et al.
- Snowmaking in the French Alps P. Spandre et al.
- Snow Avalanche Assessment in Mass Movement-Prone Areas: Results from Climate Extremization in Relationship with Environmental Risk Reduction in the Prati di Tivo Area (Gran Sasso Massif, Central Italy) M. Fazzini et al.
- Some Perspectives on Avalanche Climatology C. Mock et al.
- Predicting avalanche danger in northern Norway using statistical models K. Eiselt & R. Graversen
- A new web-based system to improve the monitoring of snow avalanche hazard in France E. Bourova et al.
- Dynamique de la neige de culture dans les Alpes Françaises P. Spandre et al.
- A novel approach for bridging the gap between climate change scenarios and avalanche hazard indication mapping G. Ortner et al.
- Bayesian networks and intelligence technology applied to climate change: An application of fuzzy logic based simulation in avalanche simulation risk assessment using GIS in a Western Himalayan region T. Arumugam et al.
- The European mountain cryosphere: a review of its current state, trends, and future challenges M. Beniston et al.
- What weather variables are important for wet and slab avalanches under a changing climate in a low-altitude mountain range in Czechia? M. Součková et al.
- Regional climatic changes and their impact on the level of avalanche hazard in East Kazakhstan O. Petrova et al.
- Interannual Variability of Snowiness and Avalanche Activity in the Ile Alatau Ridge, Northern Tien Shan A. Medeu et al.
- Application of dendrogeomorphology in snow avalanche hazard assessment: progress and prospects G. Chen et al.
- Snow avalanches in relation to tourism and transportation activities in the Făgăraş Mountains, Romanian Carpathians M. Voiculescu et al.
- Sensitivity of modeled snow stability data to meteorological input uncertainty B. Richter et al.
- Numerical investigation of the effect of cohesion and ground friction on snow avalanches flow regimes C. Ligneau et al.
- A non-stationary extreme-value approach for climate projection ensembles: application to snow loads in the French Alps E. Le Roux et al.
- Dynamics of glide avalanches and snow gliding C. Ancey & V. Bain
- Continuous and autonomous snow water equivalent measurements by a cosmic ray sensor on an alpine glacier R. Gugerli et al.
- Variabilité des volumes des dépôts d’avalanche et relations avec la morphologie des couloirs d’écoulement (Bessans, Savoie, France) H. Kern et al.
- Detecting the impact of climate change on alpine mass movements in observational records from the European Alps M. Jacquemart et al.
- Mapping snow depth from manned aircraft on landscape scales at centimeter resolution using structure-from-motion photogrammetry M. Nolan et al.
- Multi-decadal observations in the Alps reveal less and wetter snow, with increasing variability C. Marty et al.
- Quantifying short-term changes in snow strength due to increasing liquid water content above hydraulic barriers M. Schlumpf et al.
- Upslope migration of snow avalanches in a warming climate F. Giacona et al.
- Variabilité du manteau neigeux des Alpes Européennes entre 1950 et 2016 dans un contexte de changement climatique : revue bibliographique G. Klein
- Precipitation Analysis over the French Alps Using a Variational Approach and Study of Potential Added Value of Ground-Based Radar Observations C. Birman et al.
- Climate change impacts on snow avalanche activity and related risks N. Eckert et al.
- Synoptic control on snow avalanche activity in central Spitsbergen H. Hancock et al.
- Past and future changes in avalanche problems in northern Norway estimated with machine-learning models K. Eiselt & R. Graversen
- Present and future changes in winter climate indices relevant for access disruptions in Troms, northern Norway A. Dyrrdal et al.
- Characteristics and hazards of different snow avalanche types in a continental snow climate region in the Central Tianshan Mountains J. Hao et al.
- Global Snow- and Ice-Related Disaster Risk: A Review W. Shijin et al.
- Potential impacts of a changing cryosphere on soils of the European Alps: A review S. Trautmann et al.
- Climate sensitivity of natural hazards processes in mountain regions: A fuzzy logic approach P. Mani et al.
- Patterns of snow avalanche activity during the last century in Chornohora Range (Eastern Carpathians, Ukraine): Tree-ring reconstruction coupled with synoptic conditions analysis A. Decaulne et al.
- Future winters glimpsed in the Alps M. Stoffel & C. Corona
- Repenser les fondements du zonage règlementaire des risques en montagne « récurrents » N. Eckert et al.
- On the assimilation of optical reflectances and snow depth observations into a detailed snowpack model L. Charrois et al.
- The European Alps in a changing climate: physical trends and impacts M. Dumont et al.
- Impacts of climate change on snow accumulation and melting processes over mountainous regions in Northern California during the 21st century K. Ishida et al.
- The method ADAMONT v1.0 for statistical adjustment of climate projections applicable to energy balance land surface models D. Verfaillie et al.
- Effects of Climate Change on Avalanche Accidents and Survival G. Strapazzon et al.
- Twentieth century temperature and snow cover changes in the French Alps J. Beaumet et al.
- Response of snowpack to +2°C global warming in Hokkaido, Japan Y. Katsuyama et al.
99 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Carry along or not? Decision-making on carrying standard avalanche safety gear among ski tourers in a German touring region M. Witting et al.
- Wet snow avalanches on Corsica Island: a long-term perspective from lake sediments P. Sabatier et al.
- One and a half century of avalanche risk to settlements in the upper Maurienne valley inferred from land cover and socio-environmental changes. T. Zgheib et al.
- Potential effects of climate change on future snow avalanche activity in western Norway deduced from meteorological data K. Laute & A. Beylich
- Snow avalanche hazard prediction using machine learning methods B. Choubin et al.
- Estimating Snowpack Density from Near-Infrared Spectral Reflectance Using a Hybrid Model M. El Oufir et al.
- Changements climatiques et risques naturels dans les Alpes B. Einhorn et al.
- Changes of forest cover and disturbance regimes in the mountain forests of the Alps P. Bebi et al.
- Spatio-temporal variability of avalanche risk in the French Alps T. Zgheib et al.
- Development and evaluation of a method to identify potential release areas of snow avalanches based on watershed delineation C. Duvillier et al.
- Analysis of future climate change impacts on snow distribution over mountainous watersheds in Northern California by means of a physically-based snow distribution model K. Ishida et al.
- Influence of snow and meteorological conditions on snow‐avalanche deposit volumes and consequences for road‐network vulnerability H. Kern et al.
- Extreme avalanche cycles: Return levels and probability distributions depending on snow and meteorological conditions G. Evin et al.
- Future snow projections in a small basin of the Western Himalaya S. Nepal et al.
- Timing and identification of potential snow avalanche types: a case study of the central Tianshan Mountains J. Hao et al.
- Assessing wet snow avalanche activity using detailed physics based snowpack simulations N. Wever et al.
- Multi-component ensembles of future meteorological and natural snow conditions for 1500 m altitude in the Chartreuse mountain range, Northern French Alps D. Verfaillie et al.
- Potential and challenges of depth-resolved three-dimensional MPM simulations: a case study of the 2019 ‘Salezer’ snow avalanche in Davos M. Kyburz et al.
- Avalanches create unique habitats for birds in the European Alps R. Alba et al.
- Respective influence of geomorphologic and climate conditions on debris-flow occurrence in the Northern French Alps V. Jomelli et al.
- An ArcGIS Geo-Morphological Approach for Snow Avalanche Zoning and Risk Estimation in the Province of Bergamo B. Marana
- Using historical data for developing a hazard and disaster profile of the Kashmir valley for the period 1900–2020 N. Ali et al.
- Spatio-temporal trends in fire weather in the French Alps S. Dupire et al.
- Dynamic Evolution and Triggering Mechanisms of the Simutasi Peak Avalanche in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains: A Multi-Source Data Fusion Approach X. Qiang et al.
- Climate warming enhances snow avalanche risk in the Western Himalayas J. Ballesteros-Cánovas et al.
- Assessing the uncertainty of glacier mass-balance simulations in the European Arctic based on variance decomposition T. Sauter & F. Obleitner
- 10 000 years of snow avalanche activity in western Norway: a multiproxy lake sediment record from Lake Vatnasetvatnet, Hardanger J. Hardeng et al.
- Unprecedented Winter Rainfall Initiates Large Snow Avalanche and Mass Movement Cycle in New Zealand's Southern Alps/Kā Tiritiri o te Moana A. Miller et al.
- Snow avalanche in the Indian Himalayas: Hazard zonation and climate change trends in Kullu region of Himachal Pradesh, India J. Bansal et al.
- Particle trajectories, velocities, accelerations and rotation rates in snow avalanches M. Neuhauser et al.
- Climate change and natural hazards in the Alps B. Einhorn et al.
- The last glaciers in Africa and their environmental implications J. Knight
- A multi-aggregation approach to estimate avalanche vulnerability and suggest phase-wise adaptation A. Singhal et al.
- Panel based assessment of snow management operations in French ski resorts P. Spandre et al.
- Characterizing snow instability with avalanche problem types derived from snow cover simulations B. Reuter et al.
- Snow gliding and glide-snow avalanches: recent outcomes from two experimental test sites in Aosta Valley (northwestern Italian Alps) M. Maggioni et al.
- Assessing the impacts of climate change on snow avalanche-induced risk in alpine regions G. Ortner et al.
- A walk on the wild side: Disturbance dynamics and the conservation and management of European mountain forest ecosystems D. Kulakowski et al.
- Probability models to convert snowpack stability into the number of dry-snow avalanches in North Japan Y. Katsuyama et al.
- Geomorphic Process Chains in High‐Mountain Regions—A Review and Classification Approach for Natural Hazards Assessment P. Mani et al.
- Changing drivers of regional large magnitude avalanche frequency throughout Colorado, USA E. Peitzsch et al.
- Wet avalanches: long-term evolution in the Western Alps under climate and human forcing L. Fouinat et al.
- Coming down the tracks O. Heffernan
- Trends in avalanche problems in the French Alps between 1958 and 2020 B. Reuter et al.
- Large-ensemble climate simulations to assess changes in snow stability over northern Japan Y. Katsuyama et al.
- Mobility of cohesive granular flows over erodible beds: insights from discrete element simulations C. Ligneau et al.
- The sensitivity and evolutionary trajectory of the mountain cryosphere: Implications for mountain geomorphic systems and hazards J. Knight & S. Harrison
- Coupling Different Machine Learning and Meta-Heuristic Optimization Techniques to Generate the Snow Avalanche Susceptibility Map in the French Alps E. Kayhan & Ö. Ekmekcioğlu
- Global warming response of snowpack at mountain range in northern Japan estimated using multiple dynamically downscaled data Y. Katsuyama et al.
- How robust are future projections of forest landscape dynamics? Insights from a systematic comparison of four forest landscape models G. Petter et al.
- Impact of climate change on snow avalanche activity in the Swiss Alps S. Mayer et al.
- Projection in snowfall characteristics over the European Alps and its sensitivity to the SST changes: results from a 50 km resolution AGCM N. Freychet et al.
- Combining random forests and class-balancing to discriminate between three classes of avalanche activity in the French Alps P. Dkengne Sielenou et al.
- Impact du réchauffement climatique sur l'activité avalancheuse et multiplication des avalanches humides dans les Alpes françaises M. Naaim et al.
- Snowmaking in the French Alps P. Spandre et al.
- Snow Avalanche Assessment in Mass Movement-Prone Areas: Results from Climate Extremization in Relationship with Environmental Risk Reduction in the Prati di Tivo Area (Gran Sasso Massif, Central Italy) M. Fazzini et al.
- Some Perspectives on Avalanche Climatology C. Mock et al.
- Predicting avalanche danger in northern Norway using statistical models K. Eiselt & R. Graversen
- A new web-based system to improve the monitoring of snow avalanche hazard in France E. Bourova et al.
- Dynamique de la neige de culture dans les Alpes Françaises P. Spandre et al.
- A novel approach for bridging the gap between climate change scenarios and avalanche hazard indication mapping G. Ortner et al.
- Bayesian networks and intelligence technology applied to climate change: An application of fuzzy logic based simulation in avalanche simulation risk assessment using GIS in a Western Himalayan region T. Arumugam et al.
- The European mountain cryosphere: a review of its current state, trends, and future challenges M. Beniston et al.
- What weather variables are important for wet and slab avalanches under a changing climate in a low-altitude mountain range in Czechia? M. Součková et al.
- Regional climatic changes and their impact on the level of avalanche hazard in East Kazakhstan O. Petrova et al.
- Interannual Variability of Snowiness and Avalanche Activity in the Ile Alatau Ridge, Northern Tien Shan A. Medeu et al.
- Application of dendrogeomorphology in snow avalanche hazard assessment: progress and prospects G. Chen et al.
- Snow avalanches in relation to tourism and transportation activities in the Făgăraş Mountains, Romanian Carpathians M. Voiculescu et al.
- Sensitivity of modeled snow stability data to meteorological input uncertainty B. Richter et al.
- Numerical investigation of the effect of cohesion and ground friction on snow avalanches flow regimes C. Ligneau et al.
- A non-stationary extreme-value approach for climate projection ensembles: application to snow loads in the French Alps E. Le Roux et al.
- Dynamics of glide avalanches and snow gliding C. Ancey & V. Bain
- Continuous and autonomous snow water equivalent measurements by a cosmic ray sensor on an alpine glacier R. Gugerli et al.
- Variabilité des volumes des dépôts d’avalanche et relations avec la morphologie des couloirs d’écoulement (Bessans, Savoie, France) H. Kern et al.
- Detecting the impact of climate change on alpine mass movements in observational records from the European Alps M. Jacquemart et al.
- Mapping snow depth from manned aircraft on landscape scales at centimeter resolution using structure-from-motion photogrammetry M. Nolan et al.
- Multi-decadal observations in the Alps reveal less and wetter snow, with increasing variability C. Marty et al.
- Quantifying short-term changes in snow strength due to increasing liquid water content above hydraulic barriers M. Schlumpf et al.
- Upslope migration of snow avalanches in a warming climate F. Giacona et al.
- Variabilité du manteau neigeux des Alpes Européennes entre 1950 et 2016 dans un contexte de changement climatique : revue bibliographique G. Klein
- Precipitation Analysis over the French Alps Using a Variational Approach and Study of Potential Added Value of Ground-Based Radar Observations C. Birman et al.
- Climate change impacts on snow avalanche activity and related risks N. Eckert et al.
- Synoptic control on snow avalanche activity in central Spitsbergen H. Hancock et al.
- Past and future changes in avalanche problems in northern Norway estimated with machine-learning models K. Eiselt & R. Graversen
- Present and future changes in winter climate indices relevant for access disruptions in Troms, northern Norway A. Dyrrdal et al.
- Characteristics and hazards of different snow avalanche types in a continental snow climate region in the Central Tianshan Mountains J. Hao et al.
- Global Snow- and Ice-Related Disaster Risk: A Review W. Shijin et al.
- Potential impacts of a changing cryosphere on soils of the European Alps: A review S. Trautmann et al.
- Climate sensitivity of natural hazards processes in mountain regions: A fuzzy logic approach P. Mani et al.
- Patterns of snow avalanche activity during the last century in Chornohora Range (Eastern Carpathians, Ukraine): Tree-ring reconstruction coupled with synoptic conditions analysis A. Decaulne et al.
- Future winters glimpsed in the Alps M. Stoffel & C. Corona
- Repenser les fondements du zonage règlementaire des risques en montagne « récurrents » N. Eckert et al.
- On the assimilation of optical reflectances and snow depth observations into a detailed snowpack model L. Charrois et al.
- The European Alps in a changing climate: physical trends and impacts M. Dumont et al.
- Impacts of climate change on snow accumulation and melting processes over mountainous regions in Northern California during the 21st century K. Ishida et al.
- The method ADAMONT v1.0 for statistical adjustment of climate projections applicable to energy balance land surface models D. Verfaillie et al.
- Effects of Climate Change on Avalanche Accidents and Survival G. Strapazzon et al.
- Twentieth century temperature and snow cover changes in the French Alps J. Beaumet et al.
- Response of snowpack to +2°C global warming in Hokkaido, Japan Y. Katsuyama et al.
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Latest update: 03 May 2026