Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5921-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5921-2024
Research article
 | 
17 Dec 2024
Research article |  | 17 Dec 2024

Refining lake volume estimation and critical depth identification for enhanced glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) event anticipation

Nazir Ahmed Bazai, Paul A. Carling, Peng Cui, Wang Hao, Zhang Guotao, Liu Dingzhu, and Javed Hassan

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Cited articles

Ali, S., Khan, G., Hassan, W., Qureshi, J. A., and Bano, I.: Assessment of glacier status and its controlling parameters from 1990 to 2018 of Hunza Basin, Western Karakorum, Environ. Sci. Pollut. R., 28, 63178–63190, 2021. 
Bazai, N. A., Cui, P., Carling, P. A., Wang, H., Hassan, J., Liu, D., Zhang, G., and Jin, W.: Increasing glacial lake outburst flood hazard in response to surge glaciers in the Karakoram, Earth-Sci. Rev., 212, 103432, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103432, 2021. 
Bazai, N. A., Cui, P., Liu, D., Carling, P. A., Wang, H., Zhang, G., Li, Y., and Hassan, J.: Glacier surging controls glacier lake formation and outburst floods: The example of the Khurdopin Glacier, Karakoram, Global Planet. Change, 208, 103710, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2021.103710, 2022. 
Berthier, E. and Brun, F.: Karakoram geodetic glacier mass balances between 2008 and 2016: persistence of the anomaly and influence of a large rock avalanche on Siachen Glacier, J. Glaciol., 65, 494–507, 2019. 
Bhambri, R., Bolch, T., Kawishwar, P., Dobhal, D. P., Srivastava, D., and Pratap, B.: Heterogeneity in glacier response in the upper Shyok valley, northeast Karakoram, The Cryosphere, 7, 1385–1398, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-7-1385-2013, 2013. 
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Short summary
We explored the growing threat of glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) driven by glacier surges in the Karakoram. Using advanced remote sensing and field data, we identified key lake volumes and depths that indicate potential GLOFs. Our findings improve early warning systems by providing rapid methods to assess lake volumes in remote areas. This research seeks to protect vulnerable communities and contribute to global efforts in predicting and mitigating catastrophic flood risks.
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