Articles | Volume 18, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2613-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2613-2024
Research article
 | 
31 May 2024
Research article |  | 31 May 2024

Biases in ice sheet models from missing noise-induced drift

Alexander A. Robel, Vincent Verjans, and Aminat A. Ambelorun

Data sets

Data for "The Stochastic Ice-Sheet and Sea-Level System Model v1.0 (StISSM v1.0)'' by Verjans et al. Vincent Verjans https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7347470

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Short summary
The average size of many glaciers and ice sheets changes when noise is added to the system. The reasons for this drift in glacier state is intrinsic to the dynamics of how ice flows and the bumpiness of the Earth's surface. We argue that not including noise in projections of ice sheet evolution over coming decades and centuries is a pervasive source of bias in these computer models, and so realistic variability in glacier and climate processes must be included in models.