Articles | Volume 15, issue 3
The Cryosphere, 15, 1215–1236, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1215-2021

Special issue: The Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6...

The Cryosphere, 15, 1215–1236, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1215-2021

Research article 05 Mar 2021

Research article | 05 Mar 2021

Diverging future surface mass balance between the Antarctic ice shelves and grounded ice sheet

Christoph Kittel et al.

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Short summary
The future surface mass balance (SMB) of the Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) will influence the ice dynamics and the contribution of the ice sheet to the sea level rise. We investigate the AIS sensitivity to different warmings using physical and statistical downscaling of CMIP5 and CMIP6 models. Our results highlight a contrasting effect between the grounded ice sheet (where the SMB is projected to increase) and ice shelves (where the future SMB depends on the emission scenario).