Articles | Volume 15, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1097-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1097-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
02 Mar 2021
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 02 Mar 2021
| 02 Mar 2021
Diverging responses of high-latitude CO2 and CH4 emissions in idealized climate change scenarios
Philipp de Vrese
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
The Land in the Earth System, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, 20146, Germany
Tobias Stacke
Institute of Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Geesthacht, 21502, Germany
Thomas Kleinen
The Land in the Earth System, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, 20146, Germany
Victor Brovkin
The Land in the Earth System, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, 20146, Germany
Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, 20146, Germany
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Cited
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The Hydration-Dependent Dynamics of Greenhouse Gas Fluxes of Epiphytic Lichens in the Permafrost-Affected Region O. Masyagina et al. 10.3390/f15111962
- ICON-Sapphire: simulating the components of the Earth system and their interactions at kilometer and subkilometer scales C. Hohenegger et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-779-2023
- A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations J. Gupta et al. 10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00042-1
- Tipping point in North American Arctic-Boreal carbon sink persists in new generation Earth system models despite reduced uncertainty R. Braghiere et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acb226
- Enhanced environmental and economic benefits of green roofs in a humid subtropical region under future climate E. Lee et al. 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2024.107221
- Representation of soil hydrology in permafrost regions may explain large part of inter-model spread in simulated Arctic and subarctic climate P. de Vrese et al. 10.5194/tc-17-2095-2023
- The ICON Earth System Model Version 1.0 J. Jungclaus et al. 10.1029/2021MS002813
- No respite from permafrost-thaw impacts in the absence of a global tipping point J. Nitzbon et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02011-4
- Evaluation of the coupling of EMACv2.55 to the land surface and vegetation model JSBACHv4 A. Martin et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-5705-2024
- Timescales of the permafrost carbon cycle and legacy effects of temperature overshoot scenarios P. de Vrese & V. Brovkin 10.1038/s41467-021-23010-5
- Effects of land surface model resolution on fluxes and soil state in the Arctic M. Schickhoff et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad6019
- Warming-induced contrasts in snow depth drive the future trajectory of soil carbon loss across the Arctic-Boreal region A. Pongracz et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01838-1
- Warming influences CO2 emissions from China's coastal saltmarsh wetlands more than changes in precipitation S. Li et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163551
- Influence of Tundra Polygon Type and Climate Variability on CO2 and CH4 Fluxes Near Utqiagvik, Alaska S. Dengel et al. 10.1029/2021JG006262
- Sensitivity of Arctic CH4 emissions to landscape wetness diminished by atmospheric feedbacks P. de Vrese et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01715-3
- Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points D. Armstrong McKay et al. 10.1126/science.abn7950
- Assessment of JSBACHv4.30 as a land component of ICON-ESM-V1 in comparison to its predecessor JSBACHv3.2 of MPI-ESM1.2 R. Schneck et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-8581-2022
- Strong increase in thawing of subsea permafrost in the 22nd century caused by anthropogenic climate change S. Wilkenskjeld et al. 10.5194/tc-16-1057-2022
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The Hydration-Dependent Dynamics of Greenhouse Gas Fluxes of Epiphytic Lichens in the Permafrost-Affected Region O. Masyagina et al. 10.3390/f15111962
- ICON-Sapphire: simulating the components of the Earth system and their interactions at kilometer and subkilometer scales C. Hohenegger et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-779-2023
- A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations J. Gupta et al. 10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00042-1
- Tipping point in North American Arctic-Boreal carbon sink persists in new generation Earth system models despite reduced uncertainty R. Braghiere et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acb226
- Enhanced environmental and economic benefits of green roofs in a humid subtropical region under future climate E. Lee et al. 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2024.107221
- Representation of soil hydrology in permafrost regions may explain large part of inter-model spread in simulated Arctic and subarctic climate P. de Vrese et al. 10.5194/tc-17-2095-2023
- The ICON Earth System Model Version 1.0 J. Jungclaus et al. 10.1029/2021MS002813
- No respite from permafrost-thaw impacts in the absence of a global tipping point J. Nitzbon et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02011-4
- Evaluation of the coupling of EMACv2.55 to the land surface and vegetation model JSBACHv4 A. Martin et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-5705-2024
- Timescales of the permafrost carbon cycle and legacy effects of temperature overshoot scenarios P. de Vrese & V. Brovkin 10.1038/s41467-021-23010-5
- Effects of land surface model resolution on fluxes and soil state in the Arctic M. Schickhoff et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad6019
- Warming-induced contrasts in snow depth drive the future trajectory of soil carbon loss across the Arctic-Boreal region A. Pongracz et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01838-1
- Warming influences CO2 emissions from China's coastal saltmarsh wetlands more than changes in precipitation S. Li et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163551
- Influence of Tundra Polygon Type and Climate Variability on CO2 and CH4 Fluxes Near Utqiagvik, Alaska S. Dengel et al. 10.1029/2021JG006262
- Sensitivity of Arctic CH4 emissions to landscape wetness diminished by atmospheric feedbacks P. de Vrese et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01715-3
- Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points D. Armstrong McKay et al. 10.1126/science.abn7950
- Assessment of JSBACHv4.30 as a land component of ICON-ESM-V1 in comparison to its predecessor JSBACHv3.2 of MPI-ESM1.2 R. Schneck et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-8581-2022
- Strong increase in thawing of subsea permafrost in the 22nd century caused by anthropogenic climate change S. Wilkenskjeld et al. 10.5194/tc-16-1057-2022
Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
With large amounts of carbon stored in frozen soils and a highly energy-limited vegetation the Arctic is very sensitive to changes in climate. Here our simulations with the land surface model JSBACH reveal a number of offsetting factors moderating the Arctic's net response to global warming. More importantly we find that the effects of climate change may not be fully reversible on decadal timescales, leading to substantially different CH4 emissions depending on whether the Arctic warms or cools.
With large amounts of carbon stored in frozen soils and a highly energy-limited vegetation the...
