Articles | Volume 14, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
21 Dec 2020
Research article |
| 21 Dec 2020
| 21 Dec 2020
Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models
School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
Hyungjun Kim
Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Libo Wang
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, Canada
Paul Bartlett
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, Canada
Aaron Boone
Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Claire Brutel-Vuilmet
CNRS, Université Grenoble Alpes, Institut de Géosciences de l'Environnement, Grenoble, France
Eleanor Burke
Met Office, Exeter, UK
Matthias Cuntz
Université de Lorraine, AgroParisTech, INRAE, UMR Silva, Nancy, France
Bertrand Decharme
Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Emanuel Dutra
Instituto Dom Luiz, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Xing Fang
Centre for Hydrology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada
Yeugeniy Gusev
Institute of Water Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Stefan Hagemann
Institute of Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Geesthacht, Germany
Vanessa Haverd
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Canberra, ACT, Australia
Anna Kontu
Space and Earth Observation Centre, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Sodankylä, Finland
Gerhard Krinner
CNRS, Université Grenoble Alpes, Institut de Géosciences de l'Environnement, Grenoble, France
Matthieu Lafaysse
Météo-France, CNRS, CNRM, Centre d'Etudes de la Neige, Grenoble, France
Yves Lejeune
Météo-France, CNRS, CNRM, Centre d'Etudes de la Neige, Grenoble, France
Thomas Marke
Department of Geography, University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
Danny Marks
USDA Agricultural Research Service, Boise, ID, USA
Christoph Marty
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Davos, Switzerland
Cecile B. Menard
School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
Olga Nasonova
Institute of Water Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Tomoko Nitta
Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
John Pomeroy
Centre for Hydrology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada
Gerd Schädler
Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
Vladimir Semenov
A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Tatiana Smirnova
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Science/Earth System Research Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA
Sean Swenson
Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Dmitry Turkov
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Nander Wever
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Davos, Switzerland
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
Hua Yuan
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
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Latest update: 27 Nov 2025
Short summary
Climate models are uncertain in predicting how warming changes snow cover. This paper compares 22 snow models with the same meteorological inputs. Predicted trends agree with observations at four snow research sites: winter snow cover does not start later, but snow now melts earlier in spring than in the 1980s at two of the sites. Cold regions where snow can last until late summer are predicted to be particularly sensitive to warming because the snow then melts faster at warmer times of year.
Climate models are uncertain in predicting how warming changes snow cover. This paper compares...
