Articles | Volume 12, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3409-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3409-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Brief communication: Impact of the recent atmospheric circulation change in summer on the future surface mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet
Alison Delhasse
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Laboratory of Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium
Xavier Fettweis
Laboratory of Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium
Christoph Kittel
Laboratory of Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium
Charles Amory
Laboratory of Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium
Cécile Agosta
Laboratory of Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
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- A Boundary Forcing Sensitivity Analysis of the West African Monsoon Simulated by the Modèle Atmosphérique Régional G. Chagnaud et al. 10.3390/atmos11020191
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- Brief communication: CMIP6 does not suggest any atmospheric blocking increase in summer over Greenland by 2100 A. Delhasse et al. 10.1002/joc.6977
- Cloud microphysics and circulation anomalies control differences in future Greenland melt S. Hofer et al. 10.1038/s41558-019-0507-8
- Spatially Heterogeneous Effects of Atmospheric Circulation on Greenland Ice Sheet Melting H. Wang et al. 10.3390/atmos15010057
- Global Warming Threshold and Mechanisms for Accelerated Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Loss R. Sellevold & M. Vizcaíno 10.1029/2019MS002029
- Risk assessment of climate change impacts on Mediterranean coastal wetlands. Application in Júcar River Basin District (Spain) C. Estrela-Segrelles et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148032
- Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet J. Beckmann & R. Winkelmann 10.5194/tc-17-3083-2023
- Atmospheric drivers of melt-related ice speed-up events on the Russell Glacier in southwest Greenland T. Schmid et al. 10.5194/tc-17-3933-2023
- Greenland surface air temperature changes from 1981 to 2019 and implications for ice‐sheet melt and mass‐balance change E. Hanna et al. 10.1002/joc.6771
- Changes in elevation and mass of Arctic glaciers and ice caps, 2010–2017 P. Tepes et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2021.112481
- Diverse supraglacial drainage patterns on the Devon ice Cap, Arctic Canada Y. Lu et al. 10.1080/17445647.2020.1838353
- Discrepancies between observations and climate models of large-scale wind-driven Greenland melt influence sea-level rise projections D. Topál et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-34414-2
- Mass Balances of the Antarctic and Greenland Ice Sheets Monitored from Space I. Otosaka et al. 10.1007/s10712-023-09795-8
- Brief communication: Evaluation of the near-surface climate in ERA5 over the Greenland Ice Sheet A. Delhasse et al. 10.5194/tc-14-957-2020
- Concurrent Changepoints in Greenland Ice Core δ18O Records and the North Atlantic Oscillation over the Past Millennium I. Hatvani et al. 10.3390/atmos13010093
- Atmospheric circulation-constrained model sensitivity recalibrates Arctic climate projections D. Topál & Q. Ding 10.1038/s41558-023-01698-1
- Summer atmospheric circulation over Greenland in response to Arctic amplification and diminished spring snow cover J. Preece et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-39466-6
- Importance of Orography for Greenland Cloud and Melt Response to Atmospheric Blocking L. Hahn et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0527.1
- Accumulation rates (2009–2017) in Southeast Greenland derived from airborne snow radar and comparison with regional climate models L. Montgomery et al. 10.1017/aog.2020.8
- Arctic glaciers record wavier circumpolar winds I. Sasgen et al. 10.1038/s41558-021-01275-4
- Unprecedented atmospheric conditions (1948–2019) drive the 2019 exceptional melting season over the Greenland ice sheet M. Tedesco & X. Fettweis 10.5194/tc-14-1209-2020
- GrSMBMIP: intercomparison of the modelled 1980–2012 surface mass balance over the Greenland Ice Sheet X. Fettweis et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3935-2020
- Critical slowing down suggests that the western Greenland Ice Sheet is close to a tipping point N. Boers & M. Rypdal 10.1073/pnas.2024192118
- Brief communication: CESM2 climate forcing (1950–2014) yields realistic Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance B. Noël et al. 10.5194/tc-14-1425-2020
- A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners R. van de Wal et al. 10.1029/2022EF002751
- Future Evolution of Greenland's Marine‐Terminating Outlet Glaciers G. Catania et al. 10.1029/2018JF004873
- Strong Summer Atmospheric Rivers Trigger Greenland Ice Sheet Melt through Spatially Varying Surface Energy Balance and Cloud Regimes K. Mattingly et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0835.1
- Likely and High-End Impacts of Regional Sea-Level Rise on the Shoreline Change of European Sandy Coasts Under a High Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenario R. Thiéblemont et al. 10.3390/w11122607
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- Greater Greenland Ice Sheet contribution to global sea level rise in CMIP6 S. Hofer et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-20011-8
- Atmospheric Blocking Drives Recent Albedo Change Across the Western Greenland Ice Sheet Percolation Zone G. Lewis et al. 10.1029/2021GL092814
- North Atlantic Footprint of Summer Greenland Ice Sheet Melting on Interannual to Interdecadal Time Scales: A Greenland Blocking Perspective H. Wang & D. Luo 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0382.1
- Impacts of Greenland Block Location on Clouds and Surface Energy Fluxes Over the Greenland Ice Sheet J. Ward et al. 10.1029/2020JD033172
- First Application of Artificial Neural Networks to Estimate 21st Century Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Melt R. Sellevold & M. Vizcaino 10.1029/2021GL092449
- Influence of Arctic sea-ice loss on the Greenland ice sheet climate R. Sellevold et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05897-4
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Short summary
Since the 2000s, an atmospheric circulation change (CC) gauged by a negative summer shift in the North Atlantic Oscillation has been observed, enhancing surface melt over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). Future GrIS surface mass balance (SMB) projections are based on global climate models that do not represent this CC. The model MAR has been used to show that previous estimates of these projections could have been significantly overestimated if this current circulation pattern persists.
Since the 2000s, an atmospheric circulation change (CC) gauged by a negative summer shift in the...