Articles | Volume 12, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3097-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3097-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Simulation of the future sea level contribution of Greenland with a new glacial system model
Reinhard Calov
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association,
P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Sebastian Beyer
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association,
P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany
University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
Ralf Greve
Institute of Low Temperature Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
Johanna Beckmann
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association,
P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Matteo Willeit
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association,
P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Thomas Kleiner
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany
Martin Rückamp
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany
Angelika Humbert
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany
University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
Andrey Ganopolski
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association,
P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
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38 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Comparative simulations of the evolution of the Greenland ice sheet under simplified Paris Agreement scenarios with the models SICOPOLIS and ISSM M. Rückamp et al. 10.1016/j.polar.2018.12.003
- Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP) S. Sun et al. 10.1017/jog.2020.67
- Future sea-level projections with a coupled atmosphere-ocean-ice-sheet model J. Park et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-36051-9
- Impact of paleoclimate on present and future evolution of the Greenland Ice Sheet H. Yang et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0259816
- Constraining the geothermal heat flux in Greenland at regions of radar-detected basal water S. Rezvanbehbahani et al. 10.1017/jog.2019.79
- A Semi-Empirical Framework for ice sheet response analysis under Oceanic forcing in Antarctica and Greenland X. Luo & T. Lin 10.1007/s00382-022-06317-x
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- A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners R. van de Wal et al. 10.1029/2022EF002751
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- Greenland Ice Sheet Contribution to 21st Century Sea Level Rise as Simulated by the Coupled CESM2.1‐CISM2.1 L. Muntjewerf et al. 10.1029/2019GL086836
- Long‐term projections of sea‐level rise from ice sheets N. Golledge 10.1002/wcc.634
- Possible impacts of a 1000 km long hypothetical subglacial river valley towards Petermann Glacier in northern Greenland C. Chambers et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3747-2020
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- Contribution of surface and cloud radiative feedbacks to Greenland Ice Sheet meltwater production during 2002–2023 J. Ryan 10.1038/s43247-024-01714-y
- Multistability and Transient Response of the Greenland Ice Sheet to Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions D. Höning et al. 10.1029/2022GL101827
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- The 21st-century fate of the Mocho-Choshuenco ice cap in southern Chile M. Scheiter et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3637-2021
- Assessment of MODIS Surface Temperature Products of Greenland Ice Sheet Using In-Situ Measurements X. Yu et al. 10.3390/land11050593
- Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Runoff Projections to 2200 Using Degree-Day Methods C. Yue et al. 10.3390/atmos12121569
- ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century H. Seroussi et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
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- Mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate C. Chambers et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.124
- Future projections for the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 2300 with a climate-index method R. Greve et al. 10.1017/jog.2023.41
- Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2) A. Levermann et al. 10.5194/esd-11-35-2020
- The GRISLI-LSCE contribution to the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) – Part 1: Projections of the Greenland ice sheet evolution by the end of the 21st century A. Quiquet & C. Dumas 10.5194/tc-15-1015-2021
- Assessment of the Greenland ice sheet–atmosphere feedbacks for the next century with a regional atmospheric model coupled to an ice sheet model S. Le clec'h et al. 10.5194/tc-13-373-2019
- Ocean-driven millennial-scale variability of the Eurasian ice sheet during the last glacial period simulated with a hybrid ice-sheet–shelf model J. Alvarez-Solas et al. 10.5194/cp-15-957-2019
- Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate R. Greve & C. Chambers 10.1017/jog.2022.9
- Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet J. Beckmann & R. Winkelmann 10.5194/tc-17-3083-2023
- Low-End Probabilistic Sea-Level Projections G. Le Cozannet et al. 10.3390/w11071507
- Studies on the variability of the Greenland Ice Sheet and climate K. Goto-Azuma et al. 10.1016/j.polar.2020.100557
- BrAHMs V1.0: a fast, physically based subglacial hydrology model for continental-scale application M. Kavanagh & L. Tarasov 10.5194/gmd-11-3497-2018
37 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Comparative simulations of the evolution of the Greenland ice sheet under simplified Paris Agreement scenarios with the models SICOPOLIS and ISSM M. Rückamp et al. 10.1016/j.polar.2018.12.003
- Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP) S. Sun et al. 10.1017/jog.2020.67
- Future sea-level projections with a coupled atmosphere-ocean-ice-sheet model J. Park et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-36051-9
- Impact of paleoclimate on present and future evolution of the Greenland Ice Sheet H. Yang et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0259816
- Constraining the geothermal heat flux in Greenland at regions of radar-detected basal water S. Rezvanbehbahani et al. 10.1017/jog.2019.79
- A Semi-Empirical Framework for ice sheet response analysis under Oceanic forcing in Antarctica and Greenland X. Luo & T. Lin 10.1007/s00382-022-06317-x
- Glacial inception through rapid ice area increase driven by albedo and vegetation feedbacks M. Willeit et al. 10.5194/cp-20-597-2024
- Submarine melt as a potential trigger of the North East Greenland Ice Stream margin retreat during Marine Isotope Stage 3 I. Tabone et al. 10.5194/tc-13-1911-2019
- Computing water flow through complex landscapes – Part 2: Finding hierarchies in depressions and morphological segmentations R. Barnes et al. 10.5194/esurf-8-431-2020
- Complex Basal Conditions and Their Influence on Ice Flow at the Onset of the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream S. Franke et al. 10.1029/2020JF005689
- The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6 H. Goelzer et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3071-2020
- A High‐End Estimate of Sea Level Rise for Practitioners R. van de Wal et al. 10.1029/2022EF002751
- Strong Summer Atmospheric Rivers Trigger Greenland Ice Sheet Melt through Spatially Varying Surface Energy Balance and Cloud Regimes K. Mattingly et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0835.1
- Greenland Ice Sheet Contribution to 21st Century Sea Level Rise as Simulated by the Coupled CESM2.1‐CISM2.1 L. Muntjewerf et al. 10.1029/2019GL086836
- Long‐term projections of sea‐level rise from ice sheets N. Golledge 10.1002/wcc.634
- Possible impacts of a 1000 km long hypothetical subglacial river valley towards Petermann Glacier in northern Greenland C. Chambers et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3747-2020
- Ice dynamics will remain a primary driver of Greenland ice sheet mass loss over the next century Y. Choi et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00092-z
- Reduced Ice Loss From Greenland Under Stratospheric Aerosol Injection J. Moore et al. 10.1029/2023JF007112
- Contribution of surface and cloud radiative feedbacks to Greenland Ice Sheet meltwater production during 2002–2023 J. Ryan 10.1038/s43247-024-01714-y
- Multistability and Transient Response of the Greenland Ice Sheet to Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions D. Höning et al. 10.1029/2022GL101827
- Modeling the response of Greenland outlet glaciers to global warming using a coupled flow line–plume model J. Beckmann et al. 10.5194/tc-13-2281-2019
- Semi-equilibrated global sea-level change projections for the next 10 000 years J. Van Breedam et al. 10.5194/esd-11-953-2020
- The 21st-century fate of the Mocho-Choshuenco ice cap in southern Chile M. Scheiter et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3637-2021
- Assessment of MODIS Surface Temperature Products of Greenland Ice Sheet Using In-Situ Measurements X. Yu et al. 10.3390/land11050593
- Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Runoff Projections to 2200 Using Degree-Day Methods C. Yue et al. 10.3390/atmos12121569
- ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century H. Seroussi et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
- Generalized stability landscape of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation M. Willeit & A. Ganopolski 10.5194/esd-15-1417-2024
- Mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate C. Chambers et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.124
- Future projections for the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 2300 with a climate-index method R. Greve et al. 10.1017/jog.2023.41
- Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2) A. Levermann et al. 10.5194/esd-11-35-2020
- The GRISLI-LSCE contribution to the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) – Part 1: Projections of the Greenland ice sheet evolution by the end of the 21st century A. Quiquet & C. Dumas 10.5194/tc-15-1015-2021
- Assessment of the Greenland ice sheet–atmosphere feedbacks for the next century with a regional atmospheric model coupled to an ice sheet model S. Le clec'h et al. 10.5194/tc-13-373-2019
- Ocean-driven millennial-scale variability of the Eurasian ice sheet during the last glacial period simulated with a hybrid ice-sheet–shelf model J. Alvarez-Solas et al. 10.5194/cp-15-957-2019
- Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate R. Greve & C. Chambers 10.1017/jog.2022.9
- Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet J. Beckmann & R. Winkelmann 10.5194/tc-17-3083-2023
- Low-End Probabilistic Sea-Level Projections G. Le Cozannet et al. 10.3390/w11071507
- Studies on the variability of the Greenland Ice Sheet and climate K. Goto-Azuma et al. 10.1016/j.polar.2020.100557
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
We present RCP 4.5 and 8.5 projections for the Greenland glacial system with the new glacial system model IGLOO 1.0, which incorporates the ice sheet model SICOPOLIS 3.3, a model of basal hydrology and a parameterization of submarine melt of outlet glaciers. Surface temperature and mass balance anomalies from the MAR climate model serve as forcing delivering projections for the contribution of the Greenland ice sheet to sea level rise and submarine melt of Helheim and Store outlet glaciers.
We present RCP 4.5 and 8.5 projections for the Greenland glacial system with the new glacial...