Articles | Volume 11, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-1813-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-1813-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Modelling rock wall permafrost degradation in the Mont Blanc massif from the LIA to the end of the 21st century
Florence Magnin
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
EDYTEM Lab, Université Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, 73376 Le
Bourget du Lac, France
Jean-Yves Josnin
EDYTEM Lab, Université Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, 73376 Le
Bourget du Lac, France
Ludovic Ravanel
EDYTEM Lab, Université Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, 73376 Le
Bourget du Lac, France
Julien Pergaud
Centre de Recherches de Climatologie,
Biogéosciences, Université de Bourgogne
Franche-Comté, CNRS, Dijon, France
Benjamin Pohl
Centre de Recherches de Climatologie,
Biogéosciences, Université de Bourgogne
Franche-Comté, CNRS, Dijon, France
Philip Deline
EDYTEM Lab, Université Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, 73376 Le
Bourget du Lac, France
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Cited
63 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Permafrost distribution in steep rock slopes in Norway: measurements, statistical modelling and implications for geomorphological processes F. Magnin et al. 10.5194/esurf-7-1019-2019
- From Rockfall Observation to Operational Solutions: Nearly 20 years of Cryo-gravitational Hazard Studies in Mont-Blanc Massif F. Magnin et al. 10.4000/rga.11703
- The evolution of “riskscapes”: 100 years of climate change and mountaineering activity in the Lake Louise area of the Canadian Rockies K. Hanly & G. McDowell 10.1007/s10584-024-03698-2
- Timing, volume and precursory indicators of rock‐ and cliff fall on a permafrost mountain ridge (Mattertal, Switzerland) H. Hendrickx et al. 10.1002/esp.5333
- Recent ground thermo-hydrological changes in a southern Tibetan endorheic catchment and implications for lake level changes L. Martin et al. 10.5194/hess-27-4409-2023
- The impact of land surface temperatures on suprapermafrost groundwater on the central Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau K. Huang et al. 10.1002/hyp.13677
- Frozen ground and periglacial processes relationship in temperate high mountains: a case study at Monte Perdido-Tucarroya area (The Pyrenees, Spain) E. Serrano et al. 10.1007/s11629-019-5614-5
- Permafrost in monitored unstable rock slopes in Norway – new insights from temperature and surface velocity measurements, geophysical surveying, and ground temperature modelling B. Etzelmüller et al. 10.5194/esurf-10-97-2022
- Utilisation des températures de forage pour le transfert de connaissances sur le permafrost (pergélisol) de montagne : L’exemple de la série temporelle de 35 ans à Murtèl-Corvatsch (Alpes suisses) W. Haeberli et al. 10.4000/rga.11913
- Estimating the Evolution of a Post-Little Ice Age Deglaciated Alpine Valley through the DEM of Difference (DoD) R. Azzoni et al. 10.3390/rs15123190
- The impact of ground-ice thaw on landslide geomorphology and dynamics: two case studies in northern Iceland C. Morino et al. 10.1007/s10346-021-01661-1
- Thermal photogrammetry on a permafrost rock wall for the active layer monitoring S. Ponti et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170391
- Les versants englacés de la haute montagne alpine : Évolution holocène et impacts de la crise climatique actuelle L. Ravanel et al. 10.4000/rga.12291
- Climbing through Climate Change in the Canadian Rockies: Guides’ Experiences of Route Transformation on Mt. Athabasca K. Hanly et al. 10.3390/tourhosp4040033
- Water Flows in Rock Wall Permafrost: A Numerical Approach Coupling Hydrological and Thermal Processes F. Magnin & J. Josnin 10.1029/2021JF006394
- Estimating glacier-bed overdeepenings as possible sites of future lakes in the de-glaciating Mont Blanc massif (Western European Alps) F. Magnin et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2019.106913
- Cosmogenic 3He paleothermometry on post-LGM glacial bedrock within the central European Alps N. Gribenski et al. 10.5194/gchron-4-641-2022
- Detecting the impact of climate change on alpine mass movements in observational records from the European Alps M. Jacquemart et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.104886
- Identifying mountain permafrost degradation by repeating historical electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) measurements J. Buckel et al. 10.5194/tc-17-2919-2023
- Permafrost distribution and conditions at the headwalls of two receding glaciers (Schladming and Hallstatt glaciers) in the Dachstein Massif, Northern Calcareous Alps, Austria M. Rode et al. 10.5194/tc-14-1173-2020
- Glacier tourism and climate change: effects, adaptations, and perspectives in the Alps E. Salim et al. 10.1007/s10113-021-01849-0
- Soil and water threats in a changing environment P. Pereira et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2020.109501
- Modelling plant canopy effects on water-heat exchange in the freezing-thawing processes of active layer on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau L. Guo et al. 10.1007/s11629-020-6335-5
- Les guides de haute montagne face aux effets du changement climatique. Quelles perceptions et stratégies d’adaptation au pied du Mont Blanc ? E. Salim et al. 10.4000/rga.5842
- High mountain rockfall dynamics: rockfall activity and runout assessment under the aspect of a changing cryosphere B. Knoflach et al. 10.1080/04353676.2020.1864947
- Bellwether sites for evaluating changes in landslide frequency and magnitude in cryospheric mountainous terrain: a call for systematic, long-term observations to decipher the impact of climate change J. Coe 10.1007/s10346-020-01462-y
- Rock temperature variability in high-altitude rockfall-prone areas G. Nigrelli et al. 10.1007/s11629-021-7073-z
- Timing of rockfalls in the Mont Blanc massif (Western Alps): evidence from surface exposure dating with cosmogenic 10Be X. Gallach et al. 10.1007/s10346-018-0999-8
- Modelling and characterizing glacier-bed overdeepenings as sites for potential future lakes in the deglaciating French Alps M. Cathala et al. 10.4000/geomorphologie.15255
- Climatic and structural controls on Late‐glacial and Holocene rockfall occurrence in high‐elevated rock walls of the Mont Blanc massif (Western Alps) X. Gallach et al. 10.1002/esp.4952
- The changing thermal state of permafrost S. Smith et al. 10.1038/s43017-021-00240-1
- Modelling present and future rock wall permafrost distribution in the Sisimiut mountain area, West Greenland M. Marcer et al. 10.5194/tc-18-1753-2024
- The Tourism Adaptation Classification (TAC) framework: An application to New Zealand's Glacier country S. Strong et al. 10.3389/fhumd.2023.1130918
- Global warming impacts on rockfall frequency and magnitude due to changing frost distribution and frost cracking effectiveness T. Birien et al. 10.1002/esp.5913
- Rockslides and rock avalanches in the Central Andes of Argentina and their possible association with permafrost degradation C. Tapia Baldis & D. Trombotto Liaudat 10.1002/ppp.2024
- The three-stage rock failure dynamics of the Drus (Mont Blanc massif, France) since the June 2005 large event A. Guerin et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-74162-1
- Rain, Snow and Frozen Soil: Open Questions from a Porescale Perspective with Implications for Geohazards I. Baselt & T. Heinze 10.3390/geosciences11090375
- Assessing the impact of climate change on landslides near Vejle, Denmark, using public data K. Svennevig et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1897-2024
- Mapping release and propagation areas of permafrost-related rock slope failures in the French Alps: A new methodological approach at regional scale M. Cathala et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2023.109032
- A Multi‐Phase Heat Transfer Model for Water Infiltration Into Frozen Soil T. Heinze 10.1029/2021WR030067
- Rock temperature prior to failure: Analysis of 209 rockfall events in the Mont Blanc massif (Western European Alps) A. Legay et al. 10.1002/ppp.2110
- De l’observation des écroulements aux solutions opérationnelles : près de deux décennies d’études sur les risques cryo-gravitaires dans le massif du Mont-Blanc F. Magnin et al. 10.4000/rga.11644
- 18-years of high-Alpine rock wall monitoring using terrestrial laser scanning at the Tour Ronde east face, Mont-Blanc massif L. Courtial-Manent et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad281d
- Debris flows originating in the mountain cryosphere under a changing climate: A review G. Yu et al. 10.1177/0309133320961705
- Temperature distribution in a permafrost-affected rock ridge from conductivity and induced polarization tomography P. Duvillard et al. 10.1093/gji/ggaa597
- Mountain guides facing the effects of climate change. What perceptions and adaptation strategies at the foot of Mont Blanc? E. Salim et al. 10.4000/rga.5865
- First evidence of rock wall permafrost in the Pyrenees (Vignemale peak, 3,298 m a.s.l., 42°46′16″N/0°08′33″W) I. Rico et al. 10.1002/ppp.2130
- Integration of Corner Reflectors for the Monitoring of Mountain Glacier Areas with Sentinel-1 Time Series M. Jauvin et al. 10.3390/rs11080988
- Multi-method monitoring of rockfall activity along the classic route up Mont Blanc (4809 m a.s.l.) to encourage adaptation by mountaineers J. Mourey et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-445-2022
- An integrated approach to investigate climate-driven rockfall occurrence in high alpine slopes: the Bessanese glacial basin, Western Italian Alps C. Viani et al. 10.1007/s11629-020-6216-y
- Post-Little Ice Age rock wall permafrost evolution in Norway J. Czekirda et al. 10.5194/tc-17-2725-2023
- Projections of surface air temperature required to sustain permafrost and importance of adaptation to climate change in the Daisetsu Mountains, Japan T. Yokohata et al. 10.1038/s41598-021-94222-4
- The Glaciated Slopes of the High Alpine Mountains: Holocene Evolution and Impacts of the Current Climate Crisis L. Ravanel et al. 10.4000/rga.12294
- Predisposing, triggering and runout processes at a permafrost‐affected rock avalanche site in the French Alps (Étache, June 2020) M. Cathala et al. 10.1002/esp.5881
- Monitoring permafrost and periglacial processes in Sierra Nevada (Spain) from 2001 to 2016 A. Gómez‐Ortiz et al. 10.1002/ppp.2002
- Qualitative risk assessment and strategies for infrastructure on permafrost in the French Alps P. Duvillard et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2021.103311
- Modeling Potential Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Process Chains and Effects From Artificial Lake‐Level Lowering at Gepang Gath Lake, Indian Himalaya A. Sattar et al. 10.1029/2022JF006826
- Using Borehole Temperatures for Knowledge Transfer about Mountain Permafrost: The Example of the 35-year Time Series at Murtèl-Corvatsch (Swiss Alps) W. Haeberli et al. 10.4000/rga.11950
- Permafrost degradation is accelerating beneath the bottom of Yanhu Lake in the Hoh Xil, Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Y. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156045
- The impact of climate change and glacier mass loss on the hydrology in the Mont-Blanc massif L. Laurent et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-67379-7
- The thermal effect of snow cover on ground surface temperature in the Northern Hemisphere X. Peng et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad30a5
- Surface paleothermometry using low-temperature thermoluminescence of feldspar R. Biswas et al. 10.5194/cp-16-2075-2020
- Huge decrease of frost frequency in the Mont-Blanc Massif under climate change B. Pohl et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-41398-5
62 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Permafrost distribution in steep rock slopes in Norway: measurements, statistical modelling and implications for geomorphological processes F. Magnin et al. 10.5194/esurf-7-1019-2019
- From Rockfall Observation to Operational Solutions: Nearly 20 years of Cryo-gravitational Hazard Studies in Mont-Blanc Massif F. Magnin et al. 10.4000/rga.11703
- The evolution of “riskscapes”: 100 years of climate change and mountaineering activity in the Lake Louise area of the Canadian Rockies K. Hanly & G. McDowell 10.1007/s10584-024-03698-2
- Timing, volume and precursory indicators of rock‐ and cliff fall on a permafrost mountain ridge (Mattertal, Switzerland) H. Hendrickx et al. 10.1002/esp.5333
- Recent ground thermo-hydrological changes in a southern Tibetan endorheic catchment and implications for lake level changes L. Martin et al. 10.5194/hess-27-4409-2023
- The impact of land surface temperatures on suprapermafrost groundwater on the central Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau K. Huang et al. 10.1002/hyp.13677
- Frozen ground and periglacial processes relationship in temperate high mountains: a case study at Monte Perdido-Tucarroya area (The Pyrenees, Spain) E. Serrano et al. 10.1007/s11629-019-5614-5
- Permafrost in monitored unstable rock slopes in Norway – new insights from temperature and surface velocity measurements, geophysical surveying, and ground temperature modelling B. Etzelmüller et al. 10.5194/esurf-10-97-2022
- Utilisation des températures de forage pour le transfert de connaissances sur le permafrost (pergélisol) de montagne : L’exemple de la série temporelle de 35 ans à Murtèl-Corvatsch (Alpes suisses) W. Haeberli et al. 10.4000/rga.11913
- Estimating the Evolution of a Post-Little Ice Age Deglaciated Alpine Valley through the DEM of Difference (DoD) R. Azzoni et al. 10.3390/rs15123190
- The impact of ground-ice thaw on landslide geomorphology and dynamics: two case studies in northern Iceland C. Morino et al. 10.1007/s10346-021-01661-1
- Thermal photogrammetry on a permafrost rock wall for the active layer monitoring S. Ponti et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170391
- Les versants englacés de la haute montagne alpine : Évolution holocène et impacts de la crise climatique actuelle L. Ravanel et al. 10.4000/rga.12291
- Climbing through Climate Change in the Canadian Rockies: Guides’ Experiences of Route Transformation on Mt. Athabasca K. Hanly et al. 10.3390/tourhosp4040033
- Water Flows in Rock Wall Permafrost: A Numerical Approach Coupling Hydrological and Thermal Processes F. Magnin & J. Josnin 10.1029/2021JF006394
- Estimating glacier-bed overdeepenings as possible sites of future lakes in the de-glaciating Mont Blanc massif (Western European Alps) F. Magnin et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2019.106913
- Cosmogenic 3He paleothermometry on post-LGM glacial bedrock within the central European Alps N. Gribenski et al. 10.5194/gchron-4-641-2022
- Detecting the impact of climate change on alpine mass movements in observational records from the European Alps M. Jacquemart et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.104886
- Identifying mountain permafrost degradation by repeating historical electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) measurements J. Buckel et al. 10.5194/tc-17-2919-2023
- Permafrost distribution and conditions at the headwalls of two receding glaciers (Schladming and Hallstatt glaciers) in the Dachstein Massif, Northern Calcareous Alps, Austria M. Rode et al. 10.5194/tc-14-1173-2020
- Glacier tourism and climate change: effects, adaptations, and perspectives in the Alps E. Salim et al. 10.1007/s10113-021-01849-0
- Soil and water threats in a changing environment P. Pereira et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2020.109501
- Modelling plant canopy effects on water-heat exchange in the freezing-thawing processes of active layer on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau L. Guo et al. 10.1007/s11629-020-6335-5
- Les guides de haute montagne face aux effets du changement climatique. Quelles perceptions et stratégies d’adaptation au pied du Mont Blanc ? E. Salim et al. 10.4000/rga.5842
- High mountain rockfall dynamics: rockfall activity and runout assessment under the aspect of a changing cryosphere B. Knoflach et al. 10.1080/04353676.2020.1864947
- Bellwether sites for evaluating changes in landslide frequency and magnitude in cryospheric mountainous terrain: a call for systematic, long-term observations to decipher the impact of climate change J. Coe 10.1007/s10346-020-01462-y
- Rock temperature variability in high-altitude rockfall-prone areas G. Nigrelli et al. 10.1007/s11629-021-7073-z
- Timing of rockfalls in the Mont Blanc massif (Western Alps): evidence from surface exposure dating with cosmogenic 10Be X. Gallach et al. 10.1007/s10346-018-0999-8
- Modelling and characterizing glacier-bed overdeepenings as sites for potential future lakes in the deglaciating French Alps M. Cathala et al. 10.4000/geomorphologie.15255
- Climatic and structural controls on Late‐glacial and Holocene rockfall occurrence in high‐elevated rock walls of the Mont Blanc massif (Western Alps) X. Gallach et al. 10.1002/esp.4952
- The changing thermal state of permafrost S. Smith et al. 10.1038/s43017-021-00240-1
- Modelling present and future rock wall permafrost distribution in the Sisimiut mountain area, West Greenland M. Marcer et al. 10.5194/tc-18-1753-2024
- The Tourism Adaptation Classification (TAC) framework: An application to New Zealand's Glacier country S. Strong et al. 10.3389/fhumd.2023.1130918
- Global warming impacts on rockfall frequency and magnitude due to changing frost distribution and frost cracking effectiveness T. Birien et al. 10.1002/esp.5913
- Rockslides and rock avalanches in the Central Andes of Argentina and their possible association with permafrost degradation C. Tapia Baldis & D. Trombotto Liaudat 10.1002/ppp.2024
- The three-stage rock failure dynamics of the Drus (Mont Blanc massif, France) since the June 2005 large event A. Guerin et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-74162-1
- Rain, Snow and Frozen Soil: Open Questions from a Porescale Perspective with Implications for Geohazards I. Baselt & T. Heinze 10.3390/geosciences11090375
- Assessing the impact of climate change on landslides near Vejle, Denmark, using public data K. Svennevig et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1897-2024
- Mapping release and propagation areas of permafrost-related rock slope failures in the French Alps: A new methodological approach at regional scale M. Cathala et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2023.109032
- A Multi‐Phase Heat Transfer Model for Water Infiltration Into Frozen Soil T. Heinze 10.1029/2021WR030067
- Rock temperature prior to failure: Analysis of 209 rockfall events in the Mont Blanc massif (Western European Alps) A. Legay et al. 10.1002/ppp.2110
- De l’observation des écroulements aux solutions opérationnelles : près de deux décennies d’études sur les risques cryo-gravitaires dans le massif du Mont-Blanc F. Magnin et al. 10.4000/rga.11644
- 18-years of high-Alpine rock wall monitoring using terrestrial laser scanning at the Tour Ronde east face, Mont-Blanc massif L. Courtial-Manent et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad281d
- Debris flows originating in the mountain cryosphere under a changing climate: A review G. Yu et al. 10.1177/0309133320961705
- Temperature distribution in a permafrost-affected rock ridge from conductivity and induced polarization tomography P. Duvillard et al. 10.1093/gji/ggaa597
- Mountain guides facing the effects of climate change. What perceptions and adaptation strategies at the foot of Mont Blanc? E. Salim et al. 10.4000/rga.5865
- First evidence of rock wall permafrost in the Pyrenees (Vignemale peak, 3,298 m a.s.l., 42°46′16″N/0°08′33″W) I. Rico et al. 10.1002/ppp.2130
- Integration of Corner Reflectors for the Monitoring of Mountain Glacier Areas with Sentinel-1 Time Series M. Jauvin et al. 10.3390/rs11080988
- Multi-method monitoring of rockfall activity along the classic route up Mont Blanc (4809 m a.s.l.) to encourage adaptation by mountaineers J. Mourey et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-445-2022
- An integrated approach to investigate climate-driven rockfall occurrence in high alpine slopes: the Bessanese glacial basin, Western Italian Alps C. Viani et al. 10.1007/s11629-020-6216-y
- Post-Little Ice Age rock wall permafrost evolution in Norway J. Czekirda et al. 10.5194/tc-17-2725-2023
- Projections of surface air temperature required to sustain permafrost and importance of adaptation to climate change in the Daisetsu Mountains, Japan T. Yokohata et al. 10.1038/s41598-021-94222-4
- The Glaciated Slopes of the High Alpine Mountains: Holocene Evolution and Impacts of the Current Climate Crisis L. Ravanel et al. 10.4000/rga.12294
- Predisposing, triggering and runout processes at a permafrost‐affected rock avalanche site in the French Alps (Étache, June 2020) M. Cathala et al. 10.1002/esp.5881
- Monitoring permafrost and periglacial processes in Sierra Nevada (Spain) from 2001 to 2016 A. Gómez‐Ortiz et al. 10.1002/ppp.2002
- Qualitative risk assessment and strategies for infrastructure on permafrost in the French Alps P. Duvillard et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2021.103311
- Modeling Potential Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Process Chains and Effects From Artificial Lake‐Level Lowering at Gepang Gath Lake, Indian Himalaya A. Sattar et al. 10.1029/2022JF006826
- Using Borehole Temperatures for Knowledge Transfer about Mountain Permafrost: The Example of the 35-year Time Series at Murtèl-Corvatsch (Swiss Alps) W. Haeberli et al. 10.4000/rga.11950
- Permafrost degradation is accelerating beneath the bottom of Yanhu Lake in the Hoh Xil, Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Y. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156045
- The impact of climate change and glacier mass loss on the hydrology in the Mont-Blanc massif L. Laurent et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-67379-7
- The thermal effect of snow cover on ground surface temperature in the Northern Hemisphere X. Peng et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad30a5
- Surface paleothermometry using low-temperature thermoluminescence of feldspar R. Biswas et al. 10.5194/cp-16-2075-2020
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Discussed (preprint)
Latest update: 05 Dec 2024
Short summary
Permafrost degradation in high mountain rock walls provokes destabilisation, constituting a threat for human activities. In the Mont Blanc massif, more than 700 rockfalls have been inventoried in recent years (2003, 2007–2015). Understanding permafrost evolution is thus crucial to sustain this densely populated area. This study investigates the changes in rock wall permafrost from 1850 to the recent period and possible optimistic or pessimistic evolutions during the 21st century.
Permafrost degradation in high mountain rock walls provokes destabilisation, constituting a...
Special issue