Articles | Volume 10, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-179-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-179-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
20 Jan 2016
Research article |
| 20 Jan 2016
Simulated high-latitude soil thermal dynamics during the past 4 decades
UJF–Grenoble 1/CNRS, Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Géophysique de
l'Environnement (LGGE), 38041 Grenoble, France
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE),
CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE),
CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
G. Krinner
UJF–Grenoble 1/CNRS, Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Géophysique de
l'Environnement (LGGE), 38041 Grenoble, France
T. Wang
UJF–Grenoble 1/CNRS, Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Géophysique de
l'Environnement (LGGE), 38041 Grenoble, France
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE),
CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France
I. Gouttevin
UJF–Grenoble 1/CNRS, Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Géophysique de
l'Environnement (LGGE), 38041 Grenoble, France
Irstea, UR HHLY, 5 rue de la Doua, CS 70077, 69626 Villeurbanne CEDEX,
France
A. D. McGuire
US Geological Survey, Alaska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research
Unit, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, USA
D. Lawrence
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of
Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
B. Decharme
CNRM-GAME, Unitémixte de recherche CNRS/Meteo-France (UMR 3589),
42 avCoriolis, 31057 Toulouse CEDEX, France
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USA
A. MacDougall
School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of Victoria, Victoria,
BC, Canada
College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal
University, Beijing, China
Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine
Research, Potsdam, Germany
K. Saito
Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth
Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund
University, Sölvegatan 12, 223 62 Lund, Sweden
R. Alkama
CNRM-GAME, Unitémixte de recherche CNRS/Meteo-France (UMR 3589),
42 avCoriolis, 31057 Toulouse CEDEX, France
T. J. Bohn
School of Earth and Space Exploration, Arizona State University,
Tempe, AZ, USA
C. Delire
CNRM-GAME, Unitémixte de recherche CNRS/Meteo-France (UMR 3589),
42 avCoriolis, 31057 Toulouse CEDEX, France
T. Hajima
Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth
Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal
University, Beijing, China
D. P. Lettenmaier
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of
Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
P. A. Miller
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund
University, Sölvegatan 12, 223 62 Lund, Sweden
J. C. Moore
College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal
University, Beijing, China
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund
University, Sölvegatan 12, 223 62 Lund, Sweden
T. Sueyoshi
National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan
Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth
Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
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Short summary
Soil temperature change is a key indicator of the dynamics of permafrost. Using nine process-based ecosystem models with permafrost processes, a large spread of soil temperature trends across the models. Air temperature and longwave downward radiation are the main drivers of soil temperature trends. Based on an emerging observation constraint method, the total boreal near-surface permafrost area decrease comprised between 39 ± 14 × 103 and 75 ± 14 × 103 km2 yr−1 from 1960 to 2000.
Soil temperature change is a key indicator of the dynamics of permafrost. Using nine...
