<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">TC</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>The Cryosphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">TC</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">The Cryosphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1994-0424</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/tc-9-269-2015</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Arctic sea ice thickness loss determined using subsurface, aircraft, and satellite observations</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lindsay</surname>
<given-names>R.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schweiger</surname>
<given-names>A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Polar Science Center, Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington, 1013 NE 40th Street, Seattle, WA 98105, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>10</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2015</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<issue>1</issue>
<fpage>269</fpage>
<lpage>283</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2015 R. Lindsay</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2015</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/9/269/2015/tc-9-269-2015.html">This article is available from https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/9/269/2015/tc-9-269-2015.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/9/269/2015/tc-9-269-2015.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/9/269/2015/tc-9-269-2015.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Sea ice thickness is a fundamental climate state variable that provides an
integrated measure of changes in the high-latitude energy balance. However,
observations of mean ice thickness have been sparse in time and space, making
the construction of observation-based time series difficult. Moreover,
different groups use a variety of methods and processing procedures to
measure ice thickness, and each observational source likely has different and
poorly characterized measurement and sampling errors. Observational sources
used in this study include upward-looking sonars mounted on submarines or
moorings, electromagnetic sensors on helicopters or aircraft, and lidar or
radar altimeters on airplanes or satellites. Here we use a curve-fitting
approach to determine the large-scale spatial and temporal variability of
the ice thickness as well as the mean differences between the observation
systems, using over 3000 estimates of the ice thickness. The thickness
estimates are measured over spatial scales of approximately 50 km or time
scales of 1 month, and the primary time period analyzed is 2000–2012 when
the modern mix of observations is available. Good agreement is found between
five of the systems, within 0.15 m, while systematic differences of up to
0.5 m are found for three others compared to the five. The trend in annual
mean ice thickness over the Arctic Basin is −0.58 ± 0.07 m decade&lt;sup&gt;−1&lt;/sup&gt;
over the period 2000–2012. Applying our method to the period
1975–2012 for the central Arctic Basin where we have sufficient data (the SCICEX
box), we find that the annual mean ice thickness has decreased from 3.59 m
in 1975 to 1.25 m in 2012, a 65% reduction. This is nearly double the
36% decline reported by an earlier study. These results provide
additional direct observational evidence of substantial sea ice losses found
in model analyses.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="15"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Aeronautics and Space Administration</funding-source>
<award-id>NNX11AF45G</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>National Science Foundation</funding-source>
<award-id>ARC-1023283</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
<ref-list>
<title>References</title>
<ref id="ref1">
<label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Haas, C. and Jochmann, P.: Continuous EM and ULS thickness profiling in support of ice force measurements, in: Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Port and Ocean Engineering under Arctic conditions (POAC&apos;03), 16–19 June 2003, Trondheim, Norway, edited by: Loeset, S., Bonnemaire, B., and Bjerkas, M., Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, 849–856, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref2">
<label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Haas, C., Lobach, J., Hendricks, S., Rabenstein, L., and Pfaffling, A.: Helicopter-borne measurements of sea ice thickness, using a small and lightweight, digital EM system, J. Appl. Geophys., 67, 234–241, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref3">
<label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Haas, C., Hendricks, S., Eicken, H., and Herber, A.: Synoptic airborne thickness surveys reveal state of Arctic sea ice cover, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L09501, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GL042652&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL042652&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref4">
<label>4</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hansen, E., Gerland, S., Granskog, M. A., Pavlova, O., Renner, A. H. H., Haapala, J., Lyning, T. B., and Tschudi, M.: Thinning of Arctic sea ice observed in Fram Strait: 1990–2011, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 118, 5202–5221, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jgrc.20393&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrc.20393&lt;/a&gt;, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref5">
<label>5</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Krishfield, R. A. and Proshutinsky, A.: BGOS ULS Data Processing Procedure. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute report, available at: &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.whoi.edu/fileserver.do?id=85684&amp;pt=2&amp;p=100409&quot;&gt;http://www.whoi.edu/fileserver.do?id=85684&amp;pt=2&amp;p=100409&lt;/a&gt; (last access: 26 April 2013), 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref6">
<label>6</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Krishfield, R. A., Proshutinsky, A., Tateyama, K., Williams, W. J., Carmack, E. C., McLaughlin, F. A., and Timmermans, M.-L.: Deterioration of perennial sea ice in the Beaufort Gyre from 2003 to 2012 and its impact on the oceanic freshwater cycle, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 119, 1271–1305, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013JC008999&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JC008999&lt;/a&gt;, 2014.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref7">
<label>7</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kurtz, N., Studinger, M., Harbeck, J., Oana, V.-D.-P., and Farrell, S.: IceBridge Sea Ice Freeboard, Snow Depth, and Thickness, Digital media, NASA Distributed Active Archive Center at the National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, Colorado, USA, &lt;a href=&quot;http://nsidc.org/data/idcsi2.html&quot;&gt;http://nsidc.org/data/idcsi2.html&lt;/a&gt; (last access: 6 December 2013), 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref8">
<label>8</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kurtz, N. T., Farrell, S. L., Studinger, M., Galin, N., Harbeck, J. P., Lindsay, R., Onana, V. D., Panzer, B., and Sonntag, J. G.: Sea ice thickness, freeboard, and snow depth products from Operation IceBridge airborne data, The Cryosphere, 7, 1035–1056, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/tc-7-1035-2013&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-7-1035-2013&lt;/a&gt;, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref9">
<label>9</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kurtz, N. T., Galin, N., and Studinger, M.: An improved CryoSat-2 sea ice freeboard retrieval algorithm through the use of waveform fitting, The Cryosphere, 8, 1217–1237, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/tc-8-1217-2014&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-8-1217-2014&lt;/a&gt;, 2014.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref10">
<label>10</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kwok, R. and Cunningham , G. F.: ICESat over Arctic sea ice: Estimation of snow depth and ice thickness, J. Geophys. Res., 113, C08010, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2008JC004753&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JC004753&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref11">
<label>11</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kwok, R. and Rothrock, D. A.: Decline in Arctic sea ice thickness from submarine and ICESat records: 1958–2008, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L15501, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009GL039035&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL039035&lt;/a&gt;, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref12">
<label>12</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kwok, R., Cunningham, G. F., Wensnahan, M., Rigor, I., Zwally, H. J., and Yi, D.: Thinning and volume loss of the Arctic Ocean sea ice cover: 2003–2008, J. Geophys. Res., 114, C07005, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009JC005312&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JC005312&lt;/a&gt;, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref13">
<label>13</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Laxon S. W., Giles, K. A., Ridout, A. L., Wingham, D. J., Willatt, R., Cullen, R. Kwok, R., Schweiger, A., Zhang, J., Haas, C., Hendricks, S., Krishfield, R., Kurtz, N., Farrell, S., and Davidson, M.: CryoSat-2 estimates of Arctic sea ice thickness and volume, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 732–737, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50193&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50193&lt;/a&gt;, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref14">
<label>14</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Lindsay, R. W.: A new sea ice thickness climate data record, Eos, 44, 405–406, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref15">
<label>15</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Lindsay, R.: Unified Sea Ice Thickness Climate Data Record Collection Spanning 1947–2012, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, Colorado, USA, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.7265/N5D50JXV&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.7265/N5D50JXV&lt;/a&gt;, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref16">
<label>16</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Melling, H. and Riedel, D. A.: Ice Draft and Ice Velocity Data in the Beaufort Sea 1990–2003, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, Colorado, USA, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.7265/N58913S6&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.7265/N58913S6&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref17">
<label>17</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Melling, H., Riedel, D. A., and Gedalof, Z.: Trends in the draft and extent of seasonal pack ice, Canadian Beaufort Sea, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L24501, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005GL024483&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GL024483&lt;/a&gt;, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref18">
<label>18</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Moritz, R. E. and Ivakin, A. N.: Retrieving sea-ice thickness from ULS echoes: methods and data analysis, Proceedings of the 11th European Conference on Underwater Acoustics, Institute of Acoustics, St. Albans, UK, 8 pp., 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref19">
<label>19</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">NSIDC: updated 2006: Submarine Upward Looking Sonar Ice Draft Profile Data and Statistics, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, Colorado, USA, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.7265/N54Q7RWK&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.7265/N54Q7RWK&lt;/a&gt;, 1988.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref20">
<label>20</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Peacock, N. R. and Laxon, S. W.: Sea surface height determination in the Arctic Ocean from ERS altimetry, J Geophys. Res., 109, C07001, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2001JC001026&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2001JC001026&lt;/a&gt;, 2004.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref21">
<label>21</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Percival, D. B., Rothrock, D. A., Thorndike, A. S., and Gneiting, T.: The variance of mean sea-ice thickness: Effect of long-range dependence, J. Geophys. Res., 113, C01004, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007JC004391&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JC004391&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref22">
<label>22</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Pfaffling, A. and Reid, J. E.: Sea ice as an evaluation target for HEM modelling and inversion, J. Appl. Geophys., 67, 242–249, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref23">
<label>23</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Pfaffling, A., Haas, C., and Reid, J. E.: A direct helicopter EM sea ice thickness inversion, assessed with synthetic and field data, Geophysics, 72, F127–F137, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref24">
<label>24</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Renner, A. H. H., Gerland, S., Haas, C., Spreen, G., Beckers, J. F., Hansen, E., Nicolaus, M., and Goodwin, H.: Evidence of Arctic sea ice thinning from direct observations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 5029–5036, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060369&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060369&lt;/a&gt;, 2014.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref25">
<label>25</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Richter-Menge, J. A. and Farrell, S. L.: Arctic sea ice conditions in spring 2009–2013 prior to melt, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 5888–5893, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058011&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058011&lt;/a&gt;, 2013.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref26">
<label>26</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Rothrock, D. A. and Wensnahan, M.: The accuracy of sea-ice drafts measured from U.S. Navy submarines, J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 24, 1936–1949, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JTECH2097.1&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH2097.1&lt;/a&gt;, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref27">
<label>27</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Rothrock, D. A., Yu, Y., and Maykut, G. A.: Thinning of the Arctic sea-ice cover, Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 3469–3472, 1999.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref28">
<label>28</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Rothrock, D. A., Percival, D. B., and Wensnahan, M.: The decline in arctic sea-ice thickness: Separating the spatial, annual, and interannual variability in a quarter century of submarine data, J. Geophys. Res., 113, C05003, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007JC004252&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JC004252&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref29">
<label>29</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Schweiger, A., Lindsay, R., Zhang, J., Steele, M., Stern, H., and Kwok, R.: Uncertainty in modeled Arctic sea ice volume, J. Geophys. Res., 116, C00D06, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007084&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007084&lt;/a&gt;, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref30">
<label>30</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Tucker III, W. B., Weatherly, J. W., Eppler, D. T., Farmer, D., and Bentley, D. L.: Evidence for the rapid thinning of sea ice in the western Arctic Basin at the end of the 1980s, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 2851–2854, 2001.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref31">
<label>31</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Vinje, T., Nordlund, N., and Kvambekk, A.: Monitoring ice thickness in Fram Strait, J. Geophys. Res., 103, 10437–10450, 1998.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref32">
<label>32</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Warren, S. G., Rigor, I. G., Untersteiner, N., Radionov, V. F., Bryazgin, N. N., Aleksandrov, Y. I., and Colony, R.: Snow depth on arctic sea ice, J. Climate, 12, 1814–1829, 1999.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref33">
<label>33</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Webster, M. A., Rigor, I. G., Nghiem, S. V., Kurtz, N. T., Farrell, S. L., Perovich, D. K., and Sturm, M.: Interdecadal changes in snow depth on Arctic sea ice, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 119, 5395–5406, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014JC009985&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JC009985&lt;/a&gt;, 2014.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref34">
<label>34</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Wensnahan, M. and Rothrock, D. A.: Sea-ice draft from submarine-based sonar: Establishing a consistent record from analog and digitally recorded data, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L11502, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005GL022507&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2005GL022507&lt;/a&gt;, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref35">
<label>35</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Yi, D. and Zwally, J.: Arctic Sea Ice Freeboard and Thickness, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, Colorado, USA, 2009.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref36">
<label>36</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Zhang, J. and Rothrock, D. A.: Modeling global sea ice with a thickness and enthalpy distribution model in generalized curvilinear coordinates, Mon. Weather Rev., 110,, 845–861, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref37">
<label>37</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Zwally, H. J., Yi, D., Kwok, R., and Zhao, Y.: ICESat Measurements of Sea Ice Freeboard and Estimates of Sea Ice Thickness in the Weddell Sea, J. Geophys. Res., 113, C02S15, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007JC004284&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JC004284&lt;/a&gt;, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref38">
<label>38</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Zygmuntowska, M., Rampal, P., Ivanova, N., and Smedsrud, L. H.: Uncertainties in Arctic sea ice thickness and volume: new estimates and implications for trends, The Cryosphere, 8, 705–720, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/tc-8-705-2014&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-8-705-2014&lt;/a&gt;, 2014.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>