<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">TC</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>The Cryosphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">TC</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">The Cryosphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1994-0424</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/tc-6-1049-2012</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>A minimal, statistical model for the surface albedo of Vestfonna  ice cap, Svalbard</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Möller</surname>
<given-names>M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geography, RWTH Aachen University, Templergraben 55,  Aachen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>26</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2012</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>6</volume>
<issue>5</issue>
<fpage>1049</fpage>
<lpage>1061</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2012 M. Möller</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2012</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/6/1049/2012/tc-6-1049-2012.html">This article is available from https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/6/1049/2012/tc-6-1049-2012.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/6/1049/2012/tc-6-1049-2012.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/6/1049/2012/tc-6-1049-2012.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The ice cap Vestfonna is located in northeastern Svalbard and forms one of
the largest ice bodies of the Eurasian Arctic. Its surface albedo plays a key
role in the understanding and modelling of its energy and mass balance. The
principle governing factors for albedo evolution, i.e. precipitation and air
temperature and therewith snow depth and melt duration, were found to vary
almost exclusively with terrain elevation throughout the ice cap. Hence,
surface albedo can be expected to develop a comparable pattern. A new
statistical model is presented that estimates this mean altitudinal albedo
profile of the ice cap on the basis of a minimal set of meteorological
variables on a monthly resolution. Model calculations are based on a sigmoid
function of the artificial quantity rain-snow ratio and a linear function of
cumulative snowfall and cumulative positive degree days. Surface albedo
fields of the MODIS snow product MOD10A1 from the period March to October in
the years 2001–2008 serve as a basis for both calibration and
cross-validation of the model. The meteorological model input covers the
period September 2000 until October 2008 and is based on ERA-Interim data of
a grid point located close to the ice cap. The albedo model shows a good
performance. The root mean square error between observed and modelled albedo
values along the altitudinal profile is 0.057&amp;plusmn;0.028 (mean ± one
standard deviation). The area weighted mean even reduces to a value of
0.054. Distinctly higher deviations (0.07–0.09) are only present
throughout the very lowest and uppermost parts of the ice cap that are either
small in area or hardly affected by surface melt. Thus, the new, minimal,
statistical albedo model presented in this study is found to reproduce the
albedo evolution on Vestfonna ice cap on a high level of accuracy and is thus
suggested to be fully suitable for further application in broader energy or
mass-balance studies of the ice cap.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="13"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
<ref-list>
<title>References</title>
<ref id="ref1">
<label>1</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Ahlmann, H.: Scientific results of the Swedish-Norwegian Arctic Expedition in the summer of 1931. Part VIII – Glaciology, Geogr. Ann., 15, 161–216, 1933.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref2">
<label>2</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Arendt, A.: Approaches to modelling the surface albedo of a High Arctic glacier, Geogr. Ann., 81A, 477–487, 1999.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref3">
<label>3</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Beaudon, E., Arppe, L., Jonsell, U., Martma, T., Möller, M., Pohjola, V., Scherer, D., and Moore, J.: Spatial and temporal variability of net accumulation from shallow cores from Vestfonna ice cap (Nordaustlandet, Svalbard), Geogr. Ann., 93A, 287–299, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref4">
<label>4</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Braithwaite, R.: Calculation of degree-days for glacier-climate research, Z. Gletscherk. Glazialgeol., 20, 1–8, 1984.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref5">
<label>5</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Braun, M., Pohjola, V., Pettersson, R., Möller, M., Finkelnburg, R., Falk, U., Scherer, D., and Schneider, C.: Changes of glacier frontal positions of Vestfonna (Nordaustlandet, Svalbard), Geogr. Ann., 93A, 301–310, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref6">
<label>6</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Brock, B., Willis, I., and Sharp, M.: Measurements and parameterization of albedo variations at Haut Glacier d&apos;Arolla, Switzerland, J. Glaciol., 46, 675–688, 2000.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref7">
<label>7</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Claremar, B., Obleitner, F., Reijmer, C., Pohjola, V., Waxegård, A., Karner, F., and Rutgersson, A.: Applying a mesoscale atmospheric model to Svalbard glaciers, Adv. Meteorol., 321649, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/321649&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1155/2012/321649&lt;/a&gt;, 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref8">
<label>8</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Essery, R., Blyth, E., Harding, R., and Lloyd, C.: Modelling albedo and distributed snowmelt across a low hill in Svalbard, Nord. Hydrol., 36, 207–218, 2005.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref9">
<label>9</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Førland, E., Hanssen-Bauer, I., and Nordli, P.: Climate Statistics and Longterm Series of Temperatures and Precipitation at Svalbard and Jan Mayen, Det Norske Meteorologiske Institutt, Oslo, 1997.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref10">
<label>10</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hagen, J., Liestøl, O., Roland, E., and Jørgensen, T.: Glacier Atlas of Svalbard and Jan Mayen, Meddelelser Nr. 129, Norsk Polarinstitutt, Oslo, 1993.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref11">
<label>11</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hall, D. and Riggs, G.: Accuracy assessment of the MODIS snow products, Hydrol. Process., 21, 1534–1547, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref12">
<label>12</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hall, D., Riggs, G., Salomonson, V., DiGirolamo, N., and Bayr, K.: MODIS snow-cover products, Remote Sens. Environ., 83, 181–194, 2002.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref13">
<label>13</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Hofer, M., Mölg, T., Marzeion, B., and Kaser, G.: Empirical-statistical downscaling of reanalysis data to high-resolution air temperature and specific humidity above a glacier surface (Cordillera Blanca, Peru), J. Geophys. Res., 115, D12120, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009JD012556&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD012556&lt;/a&gt;, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref14">
<label>14</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Huth, R.: Statistical downscaling in central Europe: Evaluation of methods and potential predictors, Clim. Res., 13, 91–101, 1999.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref15">
<label>15</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Jordan, R., Albert, M., and Brun, E.: Physical processes within the snow cover and their parameterization, in: Snow and Climate, Physical Processes, Surface Energy Exchange and Modeling, edited by: Armstrong, R. and Brun, E., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 12–69, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref16">
<label>16</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Karl, T., Wang, W., Schlesinger, M., Knight, R., and Portman, D.: A method of relating general circulation model simulated climate to observed local climate. Part I: Seasonal statistics, J. Climate, 3, 1053–1079, 1990.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref17">
<label>17</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kaser, G., Cogley, J., Dyurgerov, M., Meier, M., and Ohmura, A.: Mass balance of glaciers and ice caps: Consensus estimates for 1961–2004, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L19501, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2006GL027511&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL027511&lt;/a&gt;, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref18">
<label>18</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Kohavi, R.: A study of cross-validation and bootstrap for accuracy estimation and model selection, in: Proceedings of the 14th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, edited by: Mellish, C., Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco, 1137–1143, 1995.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref19">
<label>19</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Loeng, H.: Features of the physical oceanographic conditions of the Barents Sea, Polar Res., 10, 5–18, 1991.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref20">
<label>20</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Mahesh, A., Eager, R., Campbell, J., and Spinhirne, J.: Observations of blowing snow at the South Pole, J. Geophys. Res., 108, D04707, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2002JD003327&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD003327&lt;/a&gt;, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref21">
<label>21</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Marzeion, B., Hofer, M., Jarosch, A. H., Kaser, G., and Mölg, T.: A minimal model for reconstructing interannual mass balance variability of glaciers in the European Alps, The Cryosphere, 6, 71–84, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/tc-6-71-2012&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-6-71-2012&lt;/a&gt;, 2012.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref22">
<label>22</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Möller, M. and Schneider, C.: Calibration of glacier volume-area relations from surface extent fluctuations and application to future glacier change, J. Glaciol., 56, 33–40, 2010.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref23">
<label>23</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Möller, M., Finkelnburg, R., Braun, M., Hock, R., Jonsell, U., Pohjola, V., Scherer, D., and Schneider, C.: Climatic mass balance of Vestfonna ice cap, Svalbard: A spatially distributed assessment using ERA-Interim and MODIS data, J. Geophys. Res., 116, F03009, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010JF001905&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JF001905&lt;/a&gt;, 2011a.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref24">
<label>24</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Möller, M., Möller, R., Beaudon, E., Mattila, O.-P., Finkelnburg, R., Braun, M., Grabiec, M., Jonsell, U., Luks, B., Puczko, D., Scherer, D., and Schneider, C.: Snowpack characteristics of Vestfonna and DeGeerfonna (Nordaustlandet, Svalbard) – a spatiotemporal analysis based on multiyear snow-pit data, Geogr. Ann., 93A, 273–285, 2011b.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref25">
<label>25</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Moss, R.: The physics of an ice cap, Geogr. J., 92, 211–231, 1938.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref26">
<label>26</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Raper, S. and Braithwaite, R.: Low sea level rise projections from mountain glaciers and ice caps under global warming, Nature, 439, 311–313, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref27">
<label>27</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Rinke, A. and Dethloff, K.: Simulated circum-Arctic climate changes by the end of the 21st century, Glob. Planet. Change, 62, 173–186, 2008.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref28">
<label>28</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Rotschky, G., Schuler, T., Haarpaintner, J., Kohler, J., and Isaksson, E.: Spatio-temporal variability of snowmelt across Svalbard during the period 2000-08 derived from QuikSCAT/SeaWinds scatterometry, Polar Res., 30, 5963, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/polar.v30i0.5963&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.3402/polar.v30i0.5963&lt;/a&gt;, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref29">
<label>29</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Schaaf, C., Wang, Z., and Strahler, A.: Commentary on Wang and Zender – MODIS snow albedo bias at high solar zenith angles relative to theory and to in situ observations in Greenland, Remote Sens. Environ., 115, 1296–1300, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref30">
<label>30</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Stroeve, J., Box, J., and Haran, T.: Evaluation of the MODIS (MOD10A1) daily snow albedo product over the Greenland ice sheet, Remote Sens. Environ., 105, 155–171, 2006.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref31">
<label>31</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Svendsen, H., Beszczynska-Møller, A., Hagen, J., Lefauconnier, B., Tverberg, V., Gerland, S., Ørbæk, J., Bischof, K., Papucci, C., Zajaczkowski, M., Azzolini, R., Bruland, O., Wiencke, C., Winther, J.-G., and Dallmann, W.: The physical environment of Kongsfjorden-Krossfjorden, an Arctic fjord system in Svalbard, Polar Res., 21, 133–166, 2002.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref32">
<label>32</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Taurisano, A., Schuler, T., Hagen, J., Eiken, T., Loe, E., Melvold, K., and Kohler, J.: The distribution of snow accumulation across the Austfonna ice cap, Svalbard: direct measurements and modelling, Polar Res., 26, 7–13, 2007.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref33">
<label>33</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Von Storch, H.: On the use of &quot;inflation&quot; in statistical downscaling, J. Climate, 12, 3505–3506, 1999.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref34">
<label>34</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Walczowski, W. and Piechura, J.: Influence of the West Spitsbergen Current on the local climate, Int. J. Climatol., 31, 1088–1093, 2011.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref35">
<label>35</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Wang, X. and Zender, C.: Constraining MODIS snow albedo at large zenith angles: Implications for the surface energy budget of Greenland, J. Geophys. Res., 115, F04015, &lt;a href=&quot;http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009JF001436&quot;&gt;https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JF001436&lt;/a&gt;, 2010a.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref36">
<label>36</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Wang, X. and Zender, C.: MODIS snow albedo bias at high solar zenith angles relative to theory and to in situ observations in Greenland, Remote Sens. Environ., 114, 563–575, 2010b.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref37">
<label>37</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Winther, J.-G., Bruland, O., Sand, K., Gerland, S., Marechal, D., Ivanov, B., Głowacki, P., and König, M.: Snow research in Svalbard – an overview, Polar Res., 22, 125–144, 2003.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="ref38">
<label>38</label><mixed-citation publication-type="other" xlink:type="simple">Wiscombe, W. and Warren, S.: A Model for the spectral albedo of snow. I: Pure snow, J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 2712–2733, 1980.</mixed-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>